AEK Athens vs ALBA Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
88:80
28/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Winners stage - Round 2
  • Referee: Horozov M. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
5466
Field goals made
2828
Field goals %
51.85%42.42%
2-point field goals attempts
3338
2-point field goals made
2120
2-point field goals %
63.64%52.63%
3-point field goals attempts
2128
3-point field goals made
78
3-point field goals %
33.33%28.57%
Free throws attempts
3217
Free throws made
2516
Free throws %
78.1%94.1%
Offensive rebounds
915
Defensive rebounds
1921
Total rebounds
2836
Assists
1816
Blocks
12
Turnovers
811
Steals
85
Personal fouls
2023

Highlights

Chances of winning


AEK Athens
61%
ALBA Berlin
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ALBA Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Athens that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ALBA Berlin than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ALBA Berlin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • AEK Athens - ALBA Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.55)

    2.37
    (2.34)
    6.5%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 163.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    What is the prediction for AEK Athens - ALBA Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). ALBA will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 76.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Athens will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 84:80.
  • Preview Facts
    • AEK has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • ALBA is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • AEK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • AEK might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    21.01.2026 AEK Athens - Karditsas 88:73
    17.01.2026 Karditsas - AEK Athens 71:79
    11.01.2026 AEK Athens - Mykonos 90:65
    27.12.2025 AEK Athens - Aris 82:76
    Latest results of ALBA Berlin
    25.01.2026 ALBA Berlin - Brose Bamberg 87:82
    20.01.2026 Tofaş - ALBA Berlin 90:94
    17.01.2026 Rasta Vechta - ALBA Berlin 83:95
    11.01.2026 ALBA Berlin - Heidelberg 87:62
    Champions League Basketball Table
    Winners stage

    Group I
    PlWLPts
    1Galatasaray431352:3377
    2Le Mans431355:3347
    3Rytas422369:3466
    4Hapoel Holon404345:4044


    Group J
    PlWLPts
    1AEK Athens440359:3058
    2Alba Berlin431327:3187
    3Tofas413333:3355
    4AS Karditsas404294:3554


    Group K
    PlWLPts
    1Joventut Badalona431340:3097
    2Unicaja422338:3186
    3Chalon/Saone422328:3706
    4Wurzburg413323:3325


    Group L
    PlWLPts
    1Gran Canaria431304:2817
    2Tenerife431327:2897
    3Nymburk413290:3255
    4Trieste413314:3405

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