Result
82:78
04/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Basket League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Greece | ERT 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 66 | 57 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 48.48% | 43.86% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 42 | 32 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 50% | 59.38% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 45.83% | 24% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 7 | 22 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 53.8% | 78.6% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 31 | 40 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
Chances of winning
Aris
71.3% | AEK Athens
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aris's performance.AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Athens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-13.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aris that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+13.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aris - AEK Athens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.68) |
|
3.27 ↑
(2.05) |
6.3%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
What is the prediction for Aris - AEK Athens?
Users Predictions:
Aris will win
(21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aris will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:80.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 2.
- Aris is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- AEK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aris might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aris won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1488:1548. (average 74.4:77.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 674:655. (average 74.9:72.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Aris won against AEK Athens?
Aris has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Aris?
AEK Athens has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aris - AEK Athens were as follows:
27.12.2025
AEK Athens
-
Aris
82:76
28.12.2024
AEK Athens
-
Aris
102:89
05.10.2024
Aris
-
AEK Athens
59:70
20.01.2024
AEK Athens
-
Aris
91:93
29.10.2023
Aris
-
AEK Athens
75:64
Latest results of AEK Athens
Greek Basket League A1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos | 22 | 22 | 0 | 2149:1740 | 44 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos | 23 | 18 | 5 | 2089:1788 | 41 |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 22 | 15 | 7 | 1851:1754 | 37 |
| 4 | PAOK | 21 | 14 | 7 | 1753:1705 | 35 |
| 5 | Peristeri | 22 | 13 | 9 | 1728:1735 | 35 |
| 6 | Aris | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1706:1622 | 33 |
| 7 | Mykonos | 22 | 8 | 14 | 1753:1912 | 30 |
| 8 | Iraklis | 22 | 8 | 14 | 1763:1857 | 30 |
| 9 | Kolossos Rhodes | 22 | 7 | 15 | 1794:1868 | 29 |
| 10 | Promitheas | 22 | 7 | 15 | 1840:1984 | 29 |
| 11 | AS Karditsas | 22 | 6 | 16 | 1722:1864 | 28 |
| 12 | Panionios | 22 | 6 | 16 | 1739:1908 | 28 |
| 13 | Maroussi | 22 | 5 | 17 | 1867:2017 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Elite League
