Promitheas Patras vs AEK Athens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
86:94
03/01/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Basket League - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceERT 2

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6060
Field Goals Made
2631
Field Goals %
43.33%51.67%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
2739
2-Point Field Goals Made
1821
2-Point Field Goals %
66.67%53.85%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3321
3-Point Field Goals Made
810
3-Point Field Goals %
24.24%47.62%
Free Throws Attempted
3527
Free Throws Made
2622
Free Throws %
74.3%81.5%
Offensive Rebounds
1112
Defensive Rebounds
1926
Total Rebounds
3038
Assists
1521
Blocks
02
Turnovers
1115
Steals
56
Personal Fouls
2430

Highlights

Chances of winning


Promitheas Patras
63.8%
AEK Athens
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 50.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Promitheas Patras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Promitheas Patras's performance.
  • AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Athens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Promitheas Patras than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Promitheas Patras that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Promitheas Patras - AEK Athens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.94)

    2.59
    (1.75)
    6.8%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 165.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Promitheas Patras - AEK Athens?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Promitheas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). AEK will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Promitheas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 162.25, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5 - AEK (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Promitheas (votes: 1 - 50%). AEK (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:81.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Promitheas won 1.
    • Promitheas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • AEK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • AEK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Promitheas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Promitheas won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1618:1645. (average 80.9:82.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Promitheas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 735:698. (average 81.7:77.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Promitheas Patras - AEK Athens were as follows:
    26.09.2025 AEK Athens - Promitheas Patras 70:84
    19.05.2025 AEK Athens - Promitheas Patras 91:67
    26.03.2025 Promitheas Patras - AEK Athens 56:60
    08.02.2025 AEK Athens - Promitheas Patras 91:71
    29.01.2025 AEK Athens - Promitheas Patras 97:76
    Latest results of Promitheas Patras
    17.12.2025 Promitheas Patras - Rytas 111:95
    13.12.2025 Panionios - Promitheas Patras 95:101
    06.12.2025 Promitheas Patras - Mykonos 103:83
    22.11.2025 Aris - Promitheas Patras 96:80
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    27.12.2025 AEK Athens - Aris 82:76
    20.12.2025 Mykonos - AEK Athens 76:77
    16.12.2025 Szolnoki Olaj - AEK Athens 80:69
    13.12.2025 AEK Athens - Panathinaikos 63:101
    10.12.2025 AEK Athens - Astrum Levice 99:88
    Greek Basket League A1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Olympiacos181801760:141936
    2Panathinaikos181531638:140233
    3AEK Athens171341429:132330
    4PAOK161151317:128327
    5Aris16971348:132125
    6Peristeri17891326:138325
    7Mykonos177101314:140724
    8Iraklis177101366:139124
    9Promitheas176111447:149923
    10Kolossos Rhodes185131423:152423
    11Maroussi184141545:165622
    12Panionios175121351:150122
    13AS Karditsas184141389:154422

          Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Elite League