Tofaş vs AEK Athens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
90:93 OT
03/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Winners stage - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV6
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6768
Field goals made
2834
Field goals %
41.79%50%
2-point field goals attempts
3835
2-point field goals made
2119
2-point field goals %
55.26%54.29%
3-point field goals attempts
2933
3-point field goals made
715
3-point field goals %
24.14%45.45%
Free throws attempts
3216
Free throws made
2710
Free throws %
84.4%62.5%
Offensive rebounds
126
Defensive rebounds
2823
Total rebounds
4029
Assists
1828
Blocks
16
Turnovers
1412
Steals
68
Personal fouls
1922

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tofaş
57.3%
AEK Athens
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tofaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tofaş than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Tofaş - AEK Athens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.67)

    2.21
    (2.09)
    6.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 166.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Tofaş - AEK Athens?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - AEK (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: AEK Athens will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Athens will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. AEK (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:82.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tofaş is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • AEK is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Tofaş may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, AEK has had a series of home games.
    • Tofaş is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that AEK will win today's game, with odds of 2.22.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tofaş won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 233:238. (average 77.7:79.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tofaş won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 163:165. (average 81.5:82.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tofaş - AEK Athens were as follows:
    10.01.2023 Tofaş - AEK Athens 82:85
    04.01.2023 AEK Athens - Tofaş 73:70
    Latest results of Tofaş
    31.01.2026 Türk Telekom BK - Tofaş 95:78
    27.01.2026 Karditsas - Tofaş 79:93
    24.01.2026 Tofaş - Galatasaray 78:91
    20.01.2026 Tofaş - ALBA Berlin 90:94
    18.01.2026 Fenerbahçe - Tofaş 90:82
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    31.01.2026 AEK Athens - Kolossos Rodou 96:83
    28.01.2026 AEK Athens - ALBA Berlin 88:80
    21.01.2026 AEK Athens - Karditsas 88:73
    17.01.2026 Karditsas - AEK Athens 71:79
    11.01.2026 AEK Athens - Mykonos 90:65
    Champions League Basketball Table
    Winners stage

    Group I
    PlWLPts
    1Galatasaray431352:3377
    2Le Mans431355:3347
    3Rytas422369:3466
    4Hapoel Holon404345:4044


    Group J
    PlWLPts
    1AEK Athens440359:3058
    2Alba Berlin431327:3187
    3Tofas413333:3355
    4AS Karditsas404294:3554


    Group K
    PlWLPts
    1Joventut Badalona431340:3097
    2Unicaja422338:3186
    3Chalon/Saone422328:3706
    4Wurzburg413323:3325


    Group L
    PlWLPts
    1Gran Canaria431304:2817
    2Tenerife431327:2897
    3Nymburk413290:3255
    4Trieste413314:3405

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