Result
96:88
11/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Winners stage - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 74 | 56 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 33 | 32 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 44.59% | 57.14% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 43.48% | 67.5% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 46.43% | 31.25% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 81% | 76.9% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 39 | 22 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
Chances of winning
AEK Athens
72.9% | Tofaş
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Tofaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Athens that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tofaş than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tofaş could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AEK Athens - Tofaş Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3
(1.3) |
|
3.38 ↑
(3.25) |
6.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 165.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
What is the prediction for AEK Athens - Tofaş?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -6.5, OT - AEK (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -5.5, OT - AEK (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AEK (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:80.
Preview Facts
- AEK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tofaş is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- AEK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, AEK is considered a favorite.
- We predict that AEK will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, AEK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 331:323. (average 82.8:80.8).
- Including home match between the teams, AEK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 73:70.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Tofaş?
AEK Athens has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tofaş won against AEK Athens?
Tofaş has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - Tofaş were as follows:
03.02.2026
Tofaş
-
AEK Athens
90:93
10.01.2023
Tofaş
-
AEK Athens
82:85
04.01.2023
AEK Athens
-
Tofaş
73:70
Latest results of AEK Athens
Champions League Basketball Table
Winners stageGroup I | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Rytas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 560:508 | 10 |
| 2 | Galatasaray | 6 | 4 | 2 | 520:501 | 10 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 6 | 4 | 2 | 538:527 | 10 |
| 4 | Hapoel Holon | 6 | 0 | 6 | 511:593 | 6 |
Group J | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | AEK Athens ✔ | 6 | 6 | 0 | 548:481 | 12 |
| 2 | Alba Berlin ✔ | 6 | 4 | 2 | 491:482 | 10 |
| 3 | Tofas | 6 | 1 | 5 | 511:529 | 7 |
| 4 | AS Karditsas | 6 | 1 | 5 | 463:521 | 7 |
Group K | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Unicaja ✔ | 6 | 4 | 2 | 504:462 | 10 |
| 2 | Joventut Badalona ✔ | 6 | 4 | 2 | 505:479 | 10 |
| 3 | Chalon/Saone | 6 | 2 | 4 | 479:534 | 8 |
| 4 | Wurzburg | 6 | 2 | 4 | 491:504 | 8 |
Group L | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife ✔ | 6 | 4 | 2 | 482:447 | 10 |
| 2 | Nymburk | 6 | 3 | 3 | 464:483 | 9 |
| 3 | Gran Canaria | 6 | 3 | 3 | 462:452 | 9 |
| 4 | Trieste | 6 | 2 | 4 | 472:498 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
AEK Athens is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Alba Berlin is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Unicaja is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Joventut Badalona is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tenerife is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
