AEL Limassol vs AEK Larnaca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cyprus League - Round 15
  • Referee: Solomou D. (Cyp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1
mexicoMexicoClaro Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
03
Corner Kicks
14
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
55
Shots on target
03
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
14
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
2222
Throw-ins
2212
Fouls
1916

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Cabrera E. ,
  • 45+3', Stevanovic D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Glavcic N. 🟨,
  • 60', Bogdan L. 🟨,
  • 62', Szoke J. , Jradi B. Z. ,
  • 64', Ekpolo G. 🟨,
  • 67', Izquierdo J. , Garcia A. ,
  • 70', Panagiotou Filiotis A. , Milosavljevic I. ,
  • 79', Amyn Y. , Ivanovic D. ,
  • 79', Cabrera E. , Angielski K. ,
  • 81', Bogdan L. , Makris A. ,
  • 81', Zdravkovski D. , Papafotis V. ,
  • 81', Glavcic N. , Forestieri F. ,
  • 82', Miramon , Mathias Gonzalez ,
  • 82', Naoum G. , Rubio W. ,

Chances of winning


AEL Limassol
23.2%
Draw
27.2%
AEK Larnaca
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22% 25.1% 52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8% 26.5% 55.8%

AEL Limassol - AEK Larnaca Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.97
(4.24)
3.39
(3.72)
1.86
(1.77)
8.3%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AEL Limassol - AEK Larnaca?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 50.5%99.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Larnaca will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEL won 0.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • AEL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, AEK Larnaca is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in AEL: Neofytou K. (Surgery) Ouedraogo D. (Injury) Thomalla D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Chacon Y. (Knee Injury) Izquierdo J. (Inactive) Jimmy Suarez (Inactive) Komar K. (Broken Hand) Rohden M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEL won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, AEL won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Limassol - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
    31.08.2025 AEK Larnaca - AEL Limassol 2:0
    02.02.2025 AEK Larnaca - AEL Limassol 2:0
    27.10.2024 AEL Limassol - AEK Larnaca 1:1
    17.08.2024 AEK Larnaca - AEL Limassol 1:1
    14.02.2024 AEL Limassol - AEK Larnaca 2:3
    Latest results of AEL Limassol
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    Cypriot First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Omonia ✔ 21163252:153751
    2AEK Larnaca ✔ 21144342:182446
    3Apollon21133530:191142
    4Pafos21131739:221740
    5Aris21114639:201937
    6APOEL21106537:191836
    7AEL Limassol2193925:30-530
    8Omonia Aradippou21731118:27-924
    9Ol. Nicosia2158818:27-923
    10Anorthosis2158816:31-1523
    11Chloraka21641118:36-1822
    12Krasava ✔ 21621317:26-920
    13Achnas ✔ 21621321:36-1520
    14Paralimni ✔ 2101205:51-461

          Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
          Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Omonia is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    AEK Larnaca is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    Krasava is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
    Achnas is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
    Paralimni is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )