Result
0:1
22/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Round 15
- Referee: Solomou D. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1 |
 Mexico | Claro Sports |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Cabrera E. ⚽,
- 45+3', Stevanovic D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Glavcic N. 🟨,
- 60', Bogdan L. 🟨,
- 62', Szoke J. ↓, Jradi B. Z. ↑,
- 64', Ekpolo G. 🟨,
- 67', Izquierdo J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 70', Panagiotou Filiotis A. ↓, Milosavljevic I. ↑,
- 79', Amyn Y. ↓, Ivanovic D. ↑,
- 79', Cabrera E. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
- 81', Bogdan L. ↓, Makris A. ↑,
- 81', Zdravkovski D. ↓, Papafotis V. ↑,
- 81', Glavcic N. ↓, Forestieri F. ↑,
- 82', Miramon ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,
- 82', Naoum G. ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEL Limassol
23.2% | Draw
27.2% | AEK Larnaca
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEL Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Larnaca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AEL Limassol - AEK Larnaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.97 ↓
(4.24) |
3.39 ↓
(3.72) |
1.86 ↑
(1.77) |
8.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AEL Limassol - AEK Larnaca?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 50.5% – 99.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Larnaca will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEL won 0.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- AEL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, AEK Larnaca is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in AEL: Neofytou K.
(Surgery)
Ouedraogo D.
(Injury)
Thomalla D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Chacon Y.
(Knee Injury)
Izquierdo J.
(Inactive)
Jimmy Suarez
(Inactive)
Komar K.
(Broken Hand)
Rohden M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEL won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, AEL won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Limassol won against AEK Larnaca?
AEL Limassol has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against AEL Limassol?
AEK Larnaca has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Limassol - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
31.08.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
AEL Limassol
2:0
02.02.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
AEL Limassol
2:0
27.10.2024
AEL Limassol
-
AEK Larnaca
1:1
17.08.2024
AEK Larnaca
-
AEL Limassol
1:1
14.02.2024
AEL Limassol
-
AEK Larnaca
2:3
Latest results of AEL Limassol
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Omonia ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 56:17 | 39 | 55 |
| 2 | Apollon ✔ | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 49 |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca ✔ | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 44:22 | 22 | 47 |
| 4 | Pafos ✔ | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 42:24 | 18 | 45 |
| 5 | APOEL ✔ | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 42 |
| 6 | Aris ✔ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 40 |
| 7 | AEL Limassol ✔ | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou ✔ | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
| 9 | Anorthosis ✔ | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 10 | Chloraka ✔ | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23:41 | -18 | 26 |
| 11 | Krasava ✔ | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22:29 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Ol. Nicosia ✔ | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 20:31 | -11 | 25 |
| 13 | Achnas ✔ | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 24:40 | -16 | 23 |
| 14 | Paralimni ✔ | 24 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5:59 | -54 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Omonia is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Apollon is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEK Larnaca is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Pafos is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
APOEL is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Aris is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEL Limassol is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Omonia Aradippou is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Anorthosis is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Chloraka is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Krasava is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Ol. Nicosia is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Achnas is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Paralimni is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
