AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cyprus League - Round 16
  • Referee: Fellas K. (Cyp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
11
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
68
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
13
Corner Kicks
11
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1314
Throw-ins
1013
Fouls
1313

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Bajic R. ,
  • 28', Aboagye C. , Kiss T. ,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Ivanovic D. ,
  • 35', Artymatas K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 60', Sosa Vivaldi F. E. , Dione B. ,
  • 60', Vukic S. , Ilia M. ,
  • 64', Bergstrom E. 🟨,
  • 66', (Penalty Awarded),
  • 74', Ivanovic D. , Amyn Y. ,
  • 74', Milicevic H. 🟨,
  • 77', Chrysostomou A. , Theodorou D. ,
  • 77', Sergiou K. , Schattin T. ,
  • 80', 3 - 0, Amyn Y. ,
  • 82', Ilia M. 🟨,
  • 85', 4 - 0, Bajic R. ,
  • 86', Bajic R. , Mathias Gonzalez ,
  • 86', Miramon , Rubio W. ,
  • 86', Naoum G. , Izquierdo J. ,
  • 90', Garcia A. , Ioannou P. ,

Chances of winning


AEK Larnaca
60%
Draw
24.1%
Anorthosis
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.6% 22% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4% 21.1% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Anorthosis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEK Larnaca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anorthosis than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • AEK Larnaca - Anorthosis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.47)
    3.8
    (4.26)
    5.76
    (6.49)
    9.1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Anorthosis?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Anorthosis will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Larnaca will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 2.
    • AEK Larnaca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Anorthosis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Anorthosis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, AEK Larnaca is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Chacon Y. (Knee Injury) Jimmy Suarez (Inactive) Komar K. (Broken Hand) Rohden M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Anorthosis: Ioannou M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Anorthosis: Katelaris F. (Inactive)
    • We predict that AEK Larnaca will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, AEK Larnaca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Anorthosis were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Anorthosis - AEK Larnaca 1:1
    25.01.2025 Anorthosis - AEK Larnaca 2:2
    20.10.2024 AEK Larnaca - Anorthosis 1:0
    28.04.2024 AEK Larnaca - Anorthosis 1:1
    17.03.2024 Anorthosis - AEK Larnaca 0:1
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    22.12.2025 AEL Limassol - AEK Larnaca 0:1
    15.12.2025 AEK Larnaca - Omonia 1:1
    11.12.2025 Häcken - AEK Larnaca 1:1
    Latest results of Anorthosis
    Cypriot First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Omonia ✔ 24174356:173955
    2Apollon ✔ 24154533:201349
    3AEK Larnaca ✔ 24145544:222247
    4Pafos ✔ 24143742:241845
    5APOEL ✔ 24126643:241942
    6Aris ✔ 24117643:241940
    7AEL Limassol ✔ 241031129:34-533
    8Omonia Aradippou ✔ 24941121:28-731
    9Anorthosis ✔ 24610820:32-1228
    10Chloraka ✔ 24751223:41-1826
    11Krasava ✔ 24741322:29-725
    12Ol. Nicosia ✔ 24510920:31-1125
    13Achnas ✔ 24721524:40-1623
    14Paralimni ✔ 2401235:59-541

          Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
          Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Omonia is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    Apollon is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    AEK Larnaca is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    Pafos is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    APOEL is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    Aris is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    AEL Limassol is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
    Omonia Aradippou is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
    Anorthosis is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
    Chloraka is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
    Krasava is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
    Ol. Nicosia is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
    Achnas is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
    Paralimni is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )