Result
4:0
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 1
- Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 13 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 16, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 13 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (519/566) | 74% (194/263) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.55 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (519/566) | 74% (194/263) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 74% (23/31) | 33% (18/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 87% (189/218) | 58% (49/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (12/35) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 4.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Penetra 🟥,
- 25', 1 - 0, Rubio W. ⚽, Bajic R. (A),
- 26', Daal R. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
- 28', Milicevic H. 🟨,
- 33', Goes W. 🟨,
- 34', Weslley Patati 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 54', 2 - 0, Bajic R. ⚽, Ledes Gustavo (A),
- 57', Ekpolo G. ↓, Miramon ↑,
- 64', Mijnans S. ↓, Sin M. ↑,
- 64', Meerdink M. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
- 64', Goes W. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
- 68', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
- 72', Rubio W. ↓, Ivanovic D. ↑,
- 72', Bajic R. ↓, Naoum G. ↑,
- 72', Kasius D. ↓, Dijkstra E. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 0, Ivanovic D. ⚽, Chacon Y. (A),
- 83', 4 - 0, Rohden M. ⚽,
- 84', Chacon Y. ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,
- 84', Pons P. ↓, Gerasimou D. ↑,
- 90+2', Gerasimou D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AEK Larnaca
34.1% | Draw
29% | AZ Alkmaar
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEK Larnaca's performance.AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Larnaca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AEK Larnaca - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↓
(3.47) |
3.53 ↑
(3.38) |
2.87 ↑
(2.05) |
-3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). AZ will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 61.6% – 91.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 2 - 28.6%). AZ (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- AEK Larnaca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, AZ has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- AZ will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Angielski K.
(Muscle Injury)
Cabrera E.
(Injury)
Garcia A.
(Muscle Injury)
Komar K.
(Broken Hand)
Saborit E.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in AZ: Maikuma S.
(Knee Injury)
Parrott T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in AZ: Koopmeiners P.
(Injury)
Mastoras E.
(Injury)
Smit K.
(Hip Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against AZ Alkmaar?
AEK Larnaca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against AEK Larnaca?
AZ Alkmaar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fiorentina | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Celje | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Lausanne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Mainz | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Noah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | AEK Athens FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Zrinjski | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Legia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Rijeka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Shkendija | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 23 | Drita | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 24 | Hacken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 25 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 26 | Omonia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | Shelbourne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 28 | Sigma Olomouc | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | Univ. Craiova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Hamrun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 | Shamrock Rovers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 | Dyn. Kyiv | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 | SK Rapid | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 | Aberdeen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
