AEK Larnaca vs AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
4:0
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 13
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 16, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 13
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.730.48
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
102
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
92% (519/566)74% (194/263)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.730.48
xG on target (xGOT)
4.550.13
Total shots
226
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
4113
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
813
Passes
92% (519/566)74% (194/263)
Long passes
74% (23/31)33% (18/54)
Passes in final third
87% (189/218)58% (49/84)
Crosses
34% (12/35)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.620.75
Throw-ins
2210
Fouls
138
Tackles
71% (10/14)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4347
Clearances
1636
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.134.55
Goals prevented
0.130.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Penetra 🟥,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Rubio W. ⚽, Bajic R. (A),
  • 26', Daal R. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
  • 28', Milicevic H. 🟨,
  • 33', Goes W. 🟨,
  • 34', Weslley Patati 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 54', 2 - 0, Bajic R. ⚽, Ledes Gustavo (A),
  • 57', Ekpolo G. ↓, Miramon ↑,
  • 64', Mijnans S. ↓, Sin M. ↑,
  • 64', Meerdink M. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
  • 64', Goes W. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
  • 68', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 72', Rubio W. ↓, Ivanovic D. ↑,
  • 72', Bajic R. ↓, Naoum G. ↑,
  • 72', Kasius D. ↓, Dijkstra E. ↑,
  • 73', 3 - 0, Ivanovic D. ⚽, Chacon Y. (A),
  • 83', 4 - 0, Rohden M. ⚽,
  • 84', Chacon Y. ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,
  • 84', Pons P. ↓, Gerasimou D. ↑,
  • 90+2', Gerasimou D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


AEK Larnaca
34.1%		Draw
29%		AZ Alkmaar
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 27.6% 45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8% 26.5% 47.4%

AEK Larnaca - AZ Alkmaar Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.96 ↓
(3.47)		 3.53 ↑
(3.38)		 2.87 ↑
(2.05)		 -3%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). AZ will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 61.6% – 91.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 2 - 28.6%). AZ (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • AEK Larnaca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, AZ has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • AZ will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Angielski K. (Muscle Injury) Cabrera E. (Injury) Garcia A. (Muscle Injury) Komar K. (Broken Hand) Saborit E. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in AZ: Maikuma S. (Knee Injury) Parrott T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in AZ: Koopmeiners P. (Injury) Mastoras E. (Injury) Smit K. (Hip Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    27.09.2025 Krasava Ypsonas - AEK Larnaca 0:4
    22.09.2025 AEK Larnaca - Aris Limassol 3:2 ✺
    17.09.2025 Omonia - AEK Larnaca 1:0 ✺
    13.09.2025 Anorthosis - AEK Larnaca 1:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 AEK Larnaca - AEL Limassol 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    28.09.2025 NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar 2:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle 2:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Feyenoord 3:3 ✺
    14.09.2025 Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar 1:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar 0:1 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor43109:2710
    2Strasbourg43107:4310
    3Celje43018:449
    4Shakhtar Donetsk43018:539
    5Mainz43014:229
    6Rakow42207:258
    7AEK Larnaca42205:058
    8Drita42204:228
    9Jagiellonia42204:228
    10AEK Athens42119:457
    11Sparta Prague42115:237
    12Rayo Vallecano42118:627
    13Lausanne42115:327
    14Sigma Olomouc42115:507
    15Univ. Craiova42113:307
    16Lech Poznan42029:636
    17Fiorentina42026:336
    18Crystal Palace42026:426
    19Zrinjski42027:8-16
    20AZ Alkmaar42024:7-36
    21Omonia41214:315
    22KuPS41214:315
    23Noah41214:405
    24Rijeka41212:205
    25Shkendija41122:4-24
    26Lincoln Red Imps41124:10-64
    27Dyn. Kyiv41036:7-13
    28Legia41033:5-23
    29Slovan Bratislava41034:7-33
    30Hamrun41033:6-33
    31Hacken40224:6-22
    32Breidablik40222:7-52
    33Aberdeen40223:10-72
    34Shelbourne40130:4-41
    35Shamrock Rovers40133:9-61
    36SK Rapid40042:12-100

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