Result
2:1
06/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Round 13
- Referee: Konstantinidis A. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Ledes Gustavo 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Miramon ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bahanack P. ↓, Saadi J. ↑,
- 46', Pechlivanis M. ↓, Cejas J. ↑,
- 62', Angelopoulos G. N. 🟨,
- 68', Bajic R. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
- 68', Ivanovic D. ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
- 72', Ofori R. 🟨,
- 72', Angelopoulos G. N. ↓, Breno Almeida ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Breno Almeida ⚽,
- 80', Lomotey E. 🟨,
- 81', Cabrera E. ↓, Amyn Y. ↑,
- 81', Izquierdo J. ↓, Gnali J. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Angielski K. ⚽,
- 87', Papageorgiou G. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 88', Ledes Gustavo ↓, Pons P. ↑,
- 90+2', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AEK Larnaca
70% | Draw
18.4% | Ethnikos Achna
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEK Larnaca's performance.Ethnikos Achna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ethnikos Achna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Larnaca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ethnikos Achna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AEK Larnaca - Ethnikos Achna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.7) |
5.03 ↑
(3.9) |
7.94 ↑
(4.43) |
8.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Ethnikos Achna?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Ethnikos Achna will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ethnikos Achna (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - AEK Larnaca (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 3 - 75%). Ethnikos Achna (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 1.
- AEK Larnaca is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ethnikos Achna is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, AEK Larnaca is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Chacon Y.
(Injury)
Komar K.
(Broken Hand)
Rohden M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 48:20. (average 2.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, AEK Larnaca won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:13. (average 2.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Ethnikos Achna?
AEK Larnaca has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ethnikos Achna won against AEK Larnaca?
Ethnikos Achna has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Ethnikos Achna were as follows:
08.01.2025
Ethnikos Achna
-
AEK Larnaca
2:2
22.09.2024
AEK Larnaca
-
Ethnikos Achna
2:2
16.12.2023
Ethnikos Achna
-
AEK Larnaca
0:3
28.08.2023
AEK Larnaca
-
Ethnikos Achna
5:5
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Latest results of Ethnikos Achna
Cypriot First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Omonia ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 56:17 | 39 | 55 |
| 2 | Apollon ✔ | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 49 |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca ✔ | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 44:22 | 22 | 47 |
| 4 | Pafos ✔ | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 42:24 | 18 | 45 |
| 5 | APOEL ✔ | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 42 |
| 6 | Aris ✔ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 40 |
| 7 | AEL Limassol ✔ | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou ✔ | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
| 9 | Anorthosis ✔ | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 10 | Chloraka ✔ | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23:41 | -18 | 26 |
| 11 | Krasava ✔ | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22:29 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Ol. Nicosia ✔ | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 20:31 | -11 | 25 |
| 13 | Achnas ✔ | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 24:40 | -16 | 23 |
| 14 | Paralimni ✔ | 24 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5:59 | -54 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Omonia is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Apollon is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEK Larnaca is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Pafos is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
APOEL is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Aris is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEL Limassol is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Omonia Aradippou is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Anorthosis is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Chloraka is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Krasava is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Ol. Nicosia is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Achnas is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Paralimni is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
