Result
0:2
16/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Round 26
- Referee: Christoforou M. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Luis Felipe 🟨,
- 14', Izquierdo J. 🟨,
- 20', Andereggen N. 🟨,
- 45+2', Andereggen N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', Machado L. 🟨,
- 61', Gonzalez P. ↓, Bahanack P. ↑,
- 61', Machado L. ↓, Angelopoulos G. N. ↑,
- 64', Ledes Gustavo ↓, Rohden M. ↑,
- 64', Izquierdo J. ↓, Gurfinkel Y. ↑,
- 68', Alomerovic Z. 🟨,
- 68', Cardero A. ↓, Bajic R. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, Ivanovic D. ⚽,
- 73', Psaltis P. ↓, Giallouros N. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 2, Milicevic H. ⚽,
- 85', Luis Felipe ↓, Camacho R. ↑,
- 85', Confais A. ↓, Maia M. ↑,
- 85', Ivanovic D. ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,
- 90+1', Bahanack P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ethnikos Achna
19.1% | Draw
26% | AEK Larnaca
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ethnikos Achna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ethnikos Achna's performance.AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Larnaca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ethnikos Achna that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Larnaca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ethnikos Achna - AEK Larnaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.88 ↓
(6.91) |
3.57 ↓
(4.37) |
1.69 ↑
(1.43) |
7.5%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ethnikos Achna - AEK Larnaca?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ethnikos Achna will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - AEK Larnaca (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - AEK Larnaca (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).
- Ethnikos Achna is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
- AEK Larnaca is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethnikos Achna won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ethnikos Achna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, AEK Larnaca is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Ethnikos Achna: Ofori R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Amyn Y.
(Injury)
Chacon Y.
(Knee Injury)
Izquierdo J.
(Inactive)
Jimmy Suarez
(Groin Injury)
Naoum G.
(Muscle Injury)
Roberge V.
(Finger Injury)
Rubio W.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Miramon
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ethnikos Achna won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:48. (average 1.1:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ethnikos Achna won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.8:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ethnikos Achna won against AEK Larnaca?
Ethnikos Achna has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Ethnikos Achna?
AEK Larnaca has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ethnikos Achna - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
06.12.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
Ethnikos Achna
2:1
08.01.2025
Ethnikos Achna
-
AEK Larnaca
2:2
22.09.2024
AEK Larnaca
-
Ethnikos Achna
2:2
16.12.2023
Ethnikos Achna
-
AEK Larnaca
0:3
28.08.2023
AEK Larnaca
-
Ethnikos Achna
5:5
Latest results of Ethnikos Achna
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Omonia | 27 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 65:19 | 46 | 62 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 50:22 | 28 | 56 |
| 3 | Apollon | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Pafos | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 54:25 | 29 | 52 |
| 5 | APOEL | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 45:28 | 17 | 45 |
| 6 | Aris | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 44 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
