Result
1:0
18/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 6
- Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 14, Canal+ Live 8 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 12 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 13 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (557/633) | 73% (180/246) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (557/633) | 73% (180/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (25/42) | 33% (19/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (151/200) | 51% (25/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Trumci A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Latifi L. 🟥,
- 53', Ibraimi B. 🟨,
- 58', Qaka K. ↓, Alhassan A. ↑,
- 59', Ibraimi B. ↓, Tamba F. ↑,
- 67', Garcia A. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
- 67', Bajic R. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
- 71', Spahiu S. ↓, Mazari A. ↑,
- 78', Ekpolo G. 🟨,
- 81', Naoum G. ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,
- 83', 1 - 0, Angielski K. ⚽, Ekpolo G. (A),
- 90+2', Rubio W. ↓, Saborit E. ↑,
- 90+6', Zejnullai A. ↓, Murati M. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEK Larnaca
67% | Draw
19.7% | Shkendija Tetovo
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Shkendija Tetovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkendija Tetovo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
AEK Larnaca - Shkendija Tetovo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.48) |
4.76 ↑
(4.1) |
7.08 ↑
(6.6) |
6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Shkendija Tetovo?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Shkendija will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 58.6% – 97%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Shkendija (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Larnaca will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 4 - 80%). Shkendija (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- AEK Larnaca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, AEK Larnaca is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Chacon Y.
(Knee Injury)
Komar K.
(Broken Hand)
Pons P.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Shkendija: Krstevski V.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Rohden M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Shkendija: Tamba F.
(Inactive)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Shkendija Tetovo?
AEK Larnaca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shkendija Tetovo won against AEK Larnaca?
Shkendija Tetovo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Shkendija Tetovo were as follows:
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Latest results of Shkendija Tetovo
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
