Afan Lido vs Caerau Ely – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
31/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 12

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Parry B. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Evans I. ,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Gullick L. ,
  • 55', 2 - 2, Gullick L. ,
  • 76', 3 - 2, Griffiths L. ,
  • 90', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Afan Lido
15.8%
Draw
20.6%
Caerau Ely
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.8% 22.1% 60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3% 21.5% 61.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Afan Lido - Caerau Ely Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.79
    (5.1)
    4.42
    (4.1)
    1.43
    (1.51)
    9.7%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afan Lido won 1.
    • Afan Lido is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Caerau is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Afan Lido may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Caerau is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Afan Lido won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Afan Lido won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Afan Lido - Caerau Ely were as follows:
    22.11.2024 Caerau Ely - Afan Lido 3:0
    07.09.2024 Afan Lido - Caerau Ely 2:2
    01.04.2024 Caerau Ely - Afan Lido 3:2
    17.10.2023 Caerau Ely - Afan Lido 4:0
    08.08.2023 Afan Lido - Caerau Ely 3:1
    Latest results of Afan Lido
    Latest results of Caerau Ely
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trefelin22183150:104057
    2Cambrian United22182256:164056
    3Ammanford23118432:211141
    4Caerau Ely23124748:321640
    5Aberystwyth23123829:26339
    6Carmarthen Town24811529:27235
    7Newport City23810532:29334
    8Cardiff Draconians21102932:27532
    9Llantwit Major2269727:28-127
    10Treowen2075833:37-426
    11Pontypridd22741133:34-125
    12Baglan Dragons22481022:31-920
    13Trethomas Bluebirds23481129:45-1620
    14Afan Lido23531520:43-2318
    15Ynyshir Albions23351517:47-3014
    16Cwmbran Celtic20051514:50-365

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation