Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
20/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 27

Match Stats

Yellow cards
01
Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Bevan J. ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 51', Rowe K. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Griffiths L. ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, De Meyer J. ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Keetch C. ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 1, Griffiths L. ,

Chances of winning


Afan Lido
26.4%
Draw
26.3%
Llantwit Major
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.8% 23.3% 54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5% 23% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afan Lido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Llantwit Major has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llantwit Major might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llantwit Major could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Afan Lido - Llantwit Major Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.44
    (4.16)
    3.46
    (3.89)
    1.92
    (1.65)
    9.9%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afan Lido won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Afan Lido may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Afan Lido has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Llantwit Major is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Afan Lido won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Afan Lido won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Afan Lido - Llantwit Major were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Llantwit Major - Afan Lido 1:0
    19.07.2025 Llantwit Major - Afan Lido 1:2
    02.11.2024 Llantwit Major - Afan Lido 2:0
    23.08.2024 Afan Lido - Llantwit Major 1:3
    20.01.2024 Llantwit Major - Afan Lido 1:0
    Latest results of Afan Lido
    07.03.2026 Caerau Ely - Afan Lido 4:1
    01.03.2026 Afan Lido - Ammanford 3:1
    13.02.2026 Afan Lido - Newport City 0:1
    Latest results of Llantwit Major
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambrian United ✔ 26213268:185066
    2Trefelin ✔ 26213261:154666
    3Caerau Ely27155760:332750
    4Ammanford26148438:241450
    5Carmarthen Town271012537:33442
    6Aberystwyth261331032:32042
    7Llantwit Major2799940:38236
    8Newport City27810935:39-434
    9Treowen27971146:51-534
    10Cardiff Draconians251021336:39-332
    11Pontypridd26851342:46-429
    12Trethomas Bluebirds27681338:55-1726
    13Afan Lido27731726:52-2624
    14Baglan Dragons26581325:42-1723
    15Ynyshir Albions26561524:48-2421
    16Cwmbran Celtic24061818:61-436

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
    Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier