Afghanistan vs Pakistan, ICC World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Cricket ICC World Cup Afghanistan - Pakistan
Result
286:282
23/10/2023 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: ICC WORLD CUP
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox Sports Cricket

Chances of winning


Afghanistan
27.9%
Pakistan
72.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afghanistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-39.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afghanistan's form might have worsened.
  • Pakistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+39.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pakistan's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afghanistan than the current prediction. (+37.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afghanistan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pakistan than the current prediction. (-37.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pakistan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Afghanistan - Pakistan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (1.39)

    1.3
    (2.9)
    6.8%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 500.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Afghanistan won 1.
    • Afghanistan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Pakistan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Afghanistan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Pakistan is a favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Afghanistan won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 2054-2319.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Afghanistan - Pakistan were as follows:
    06.10.2023 Pakistan - Afghanistan 115:116
    26.08.2023 Afghanistan - Pakistan 209:268
    24.08.2023 Afghanistan - Pakistan 300:302
    22.08.2023 Afghanistan - Pakistan 59:201
    27.03.2023 Afghanistan - Pakistan 116:182
    Latest results of Afghanistan
    18.10.2023 New Zealand - Afghanistan 288:139
    15.10.2023 Afghanistan - England 284:215
    11.10.2023 India - Afghanistan 273:272
    07.10.2023 India - Afghanistan Abandoned
    07.10.2023 Bangladesh - Afghanistan 158:156
    Latest results of Pakistan
    20.10.2023 Australia - Pakistan 367:305
    14.10.2023 India - Pakistan 192:191
    10.10.2023 Pakistan - Sri Lanka 345:344
    06.10.2023 Bangladesh - Pakistan 0:48
    06.10.2023 Netherlands - Pakistan 205:286
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Semi-finals
    1India (1)New Zealand (4)397 : 327
    2South Africa (2)Australia (3)212 : 215

    Final
    1India (1)Australia (3)240 : 241