Afragolese vs Gravina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Afragolese - Gravina
05/02/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Afragolese
38.9%
Draw
28%
Gravina
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 27.5% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 27.1% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afragolese's form might have worsened.
  • Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gravina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afragolese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gravina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Afragolese - Gravina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (1.83)
    3.21
    (3.23)
    2.71
    (3.74)
    11.5%
    (12.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Latest results of Afragolese
    22.01.2023 Afragolese - Francavilla 3:2
    15.01.2023 Cavese - Afragolese 1:1
    08.01.2023 Afragolese - Bitonto 1:2
    21.12.2022 Afragolese - Molfetta 1:1
    Latest results of Gravina
    29.01.2023 Gravina - Altamura 1:1
    15.01.2023 Gravina - Casarano 1:1
    08.01.2023 Nocerina - Gravina 2:1
    21.12.2022 Lavello - Gravina 0:2
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1