Afragolese vs Gravina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:6
26/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, ,
  • 45+5', 0 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 46', 0 - 3, ,
  • 50', 0 - 4, ,
  • 59', 0 - 5, ,
  • 84', 0 - 6, ,

Chances of winning


Afragolese
40.4%
Draw
29.5%
Gravina
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 27.6% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 29.4% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afragolese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Afragolese - Gravina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.05)
    3.08
    (3.25)
    3.01
    (3.15)
    10.1%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 7)
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Gravina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Afragolese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Afragolese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Afragolese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Afragolese - Gravina were as follows:
    14.12.2025 Gravina - Afragolese 1:0
    05.02.2023 Afragolese - Gravina 0:2
    Latest results of Afragolese
    Latest results of Gravina
    12.04.2026 Ferrandina - Gravina 0:5
    02.04.2026 Gravina - Martina Calcio 1:0
    29.03.2026 Manfredonia - Gravina 1:2
    22.03.2026 Gravina - Barletta 0:2
    15.03.2026 Sarnese - Gravina 2:0
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta342010454:203470
    2Martina Calcio34188847:301762
    3Citta di Fasano34188851:351662
    4Paganese341771036:32458
    5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:271355
    6Gravina341671150:401055
    7Afragolese3413101145:46-149
    8Fidelis Andria341391235:28748
    9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:40548
    10Real Normanna3410131127:26143
    11Francavilla3411101339:38143
    12Manfredonia3411101334:39-543
    13Sarnese349141151:49241
    14SS Nola 1925341181542:50-841
    15Heraclea341081631:39-838
    16Pompei34971826:38-1234
    17Ferrandina34791821:43-2230
    18Acerrana34352620:74-5414

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