Afragolese vs Paganese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
30/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Montaperto G. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 0, Gioielli F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Afragolese
33.6%
Draw
28.7%
Paganese
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 27.7% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 27.2% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afragolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Afragolese - Paganese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.96)
    3.16
    (3.28)
    2.4
    (2.17)
    10.4%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Afragolese
    Latest results of Paganese
    23.11.2025 Paganese - Real Normanna 1:0
    16.11.2025 Paganese - Ferrandina 0:0
    09.11.2025 Martina Calcio - Paganese 0:1
    02.11.2025 Paganese - Manfredonia 1:0
    26.10.2025 Barletta - Paganese 1:1
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta26149338:132551
    2Martina Calcio26156535:201551
    3Paganese26155625:17850
    4Citta di Fasano26137635:28746
    5Afragolese26126839:31842
    6A.C.D. Nardo261011533:24941
    7Gravina26116933:33039
    8Virtus Francavilla26910736:261037
    9SS Nola 192526107938:37137
    10Fidelis Andria26971027:23434
    11Heraclea26951222:26-432
    12Manfredonia26881025:30-532
    13Francavilla26871125:29-431
    14Real Normanna26612818:19-130
    15Sarnese266101037:40-328
    16Ferrandina26661416:29-1324
    17Pompei26461612:29-1718
    18Acerrana26341915:55-4013

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation