Result
1:1
17/07/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 15
- Referee: Haflidason Oddur G. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (317/401) | 84% (356/425) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.83 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (317/401) | 84% (356/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (35/67) | 48% (16/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (71/99) | 72% (94/131) |
| Crosses |
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| 24% (5/21) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
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| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Johannsson A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', McLagan K. ↓, Sigurdsson F. ↑,
- 46', Dimitrijevic V. ↓, Bystrom J. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 0, Johannsson A. ⚽, Stokke B. (A),
- 60', Sigmarsson G. 🟨,
- 69', Cogic E. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 1, Hauksson R. ⚽, Fred Saraiva (A),
- 76', Sigmarsson G. ↓, Bjarnason G. ↑,
- 80', Asgrimsson H. 🟨,
- 86', Cogic E. ↓, Hafthorsson T. G. ↑,
- 87', Fred Saraiva ↓, Geirsson T. ↑,
- 87', Hauksson R. ↓, Magnusson G. ↑,
- 87', Hafthorsson T. G. 🟨,
- 90+3', Jonsson A. ↓, Palsson S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Afturelding
33.9% | Draw
26.5% | Fram
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Fram has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fram than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Afturelding - Fram Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(2.49) |
3.5 ↓
(3.55) |
2.35 ↓
(2.62) |
7.7%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Afturelding - Fram?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Afturelding will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Fram will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fram: 19.1% – 73.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Afturelding (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Fram (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Afturelding (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Afturelding (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Fram (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 0.
- Recent performances by Afturelding have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fram is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Afturelding may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Fram has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.2:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Afturelding won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Afturelding won against Fram?
Afturelding has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fram won against Afturelding?
Fram has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Afturelding - Fram were as follows:
19.06.2025
Afturelding
-
Fram
0:1
28.04.2025
Fram
-
Afturelding
3:0
17.02.2023
Afturelding
-
Fram
3:4
Latest results of Afturelding
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Breidablik | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Keflavik | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Akranes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Hafnarfjordur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | KR Reykjavik | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Fram | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Valur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Stjarnan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Vestmannaeyjar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
