Result
2:1
11/08/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 18
- Referee: Thordarson T. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.63 | 0.48 |
Ball Possession |
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56% | 44% |
Total shots |
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25 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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10 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
89% (441/497) | 79% (306/389) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.63 | 0.48 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.39 | 0.88 |
Total shots |
---|
25 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
20 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
47 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 8 |
Passes |
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89% (441/497) | 79% (306/389) |
Long passes |
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73% (24/33) | 38% (20/52) |
Passes in final third |
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83% (153/184) | 62% (65/105) |
Crosses |
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15% (4/27) | 29% (4/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.75 | 0.59 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 29 |
Fouls |
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8 | 8 |
Tackles |
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72% (18/25) | 93% (13/14) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 46 |
Clearances |
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29 | 31 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.88 | 2.39 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.12 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Magnusson H. ⚽, Sigurjonsson O. (A),
- 29', Sigmarsson G. ↓, Jonsson A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 1, Sigurdarson A. (Pen),
- 65', 2 - 1, Saebjornsson E. ⚽, Eyjolfsson G. (A),
- 66', Kjartansson O. ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
- 70', Johannsson A. ↓, Kassi L. ↑,
- 74', Praest M. ↓, Sigurdarson A. ↑,
- 79', Sigurdarson A. 🟨,
- 85', Bjarnason G. ↓, Hafthorsson T. G. ↑,
- 86', Cogic E. ↓, Runolfsson B. ↑,
- 86', Saebjornsson E. ↓, Sigurjonsson A. ↑,
Chances of winning
KR Reykjavík 46.2% | Draw 23.5% | Afturelding 30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KR Reykjavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KR Reykjavík's performance.Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Afturelding might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KR Reykjavík than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KR Reykjavík that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Afturelding could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
KR Reykjavík - Afturelding Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.07 ↓ (2.54) |
4.07 ↑ (3.49) |
3.16 ↑ (2.53) |
4.5% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for KR Reykjavík - Afturelding?
Users Predictions:
KR Reykjavík will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KR Reykjavík will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ))
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Afturelding may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- KR Reykjavík will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, KR Reykjavík won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 4.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has KR Reykjavík won against Afturelding?
KR Reykjavík has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Afturelding won against KR Reykjavík?
Afturelding has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KR Reykjavík - Afturelding were as follows:
18.05.2025
Afturelding
-
KR Reykjavík
4:3
Latest results of KR Reykjavík
Latest results of Afturelding
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Valur ✔ | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 52:33 | 19 | 40 |
2 | Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 40:27 | 13 | 39 |
3 | Stjarnan ✔ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Breidablik ✔ | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Hafnarfjordur | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Fram | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 28 |
7 | Vestmannaeyjar | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
8 | Vestri | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
9 | KA Akureyri | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:38 | -13 | 26 |
10 | KR Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 42:44 | -2 | 24 |
11 | Afturelding ✔ | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
12 | Akranes ✔ | 20 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Vikingur Reykjavik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Stjarnan is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Breidablik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
KR Reykjavik is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Afturelding is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Akranes is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )