Result
2:1
11/08/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 18
- Referee: Thordarson T. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (441/497) | 79% (306/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (441/497) | 79% (306/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (24/33) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (153/184) | 62% (65/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/27) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (18/25) | 93% (13/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Magnusson H. ⚽, Sigurjonsson O. (A),
- 29', Sigmarsson G. ↓, Jonsson A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 1, Sigurdarson A. (Pen),
- 65', 2 - 1, Saebjornsson E. ⚽, Eyjolfsson G. (A),
- 66', Kjartansson O. ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
- 70', Johannsson A. ↓, Kassi L. ↑,
- 74', Praest M. ↓, Sigurdarson A. ↑,
- 79', Sigurdarson A. 🟨,
- 85', Bjarnason G. ↓, Hafthorsson T. G. ↑,
- 86', Cogic E. ↓, Runolfsson B. ↑,
- 86', Saebjornsson E. ↓, Sigurjonsson A. ↑,
Chances of winning
KR Reykjavík
46.2% | Draw
23.5% | Afturelding
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KR Reykjavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KR Reykjavík's performance.Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Afturelding might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KR Reykjavík than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KR Reykjavík that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Afturelding could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
KR Reykjavík - Afturelding Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.54) |
4.07 ↑
(3.49) |
3.16 ↑
(2.53) |
4.5%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for KR Reykjavík - Afturelding?
Users Predictions:
KR Reykjavík will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KR Reykjavík will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ))
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Afturelding may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- KR Reykjavík will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, KR Reykjavík won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 4.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has KR Reykjavík won against Afturelding?
KR Reykjavík has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Afturelding won against KR Reykjavík?
Afturelding has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KR Reykjavík - Afturelding were as follows:
18.05.2025
Afturelding
-
KR Reykjavík
4:3
Latest results of KR Reykjavík
Latest results of Afturelding
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 49:28 | 21 | 45 |
| 2 | Valur | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 54:36 | 18 | 41 |
| 3 | Stjarnan | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 41 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | Hafnarfjordur | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 31 |
| 6 | Fram | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
