Afturelding vs Valur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Icelandic Besta-deild karla Afturelding - Valur
Result
0:2
29/05/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Besta deild karla - Round 9
  • Referee: Jonasson H. M. (Ice)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 5
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.43
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
84% (466/554)83% (333/399)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.331.71
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
139
Passes
84% (466/554)83% (333/399)
Long passes
51% (28/55)38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
77% (109/142)63% (50/80)
Crosses
30% (7/23)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.27
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
913
Tackles
50% (7/14)81% (13/16)
Duels won
4336
Clearances
2229
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.710.33
Goals prevented
-0.290.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 17', Kjartansson O. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Pedersen P. (Pen),
  • 41', 0 - 2, Johannsson A. , Heimisson L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bjarnason G. , Palsson S. ,
  • 61', Sigurjonsson O. , Johannsson A. ,
  • 66', Kjartansson O. , Sigurdsson K. ,
  • 66', Pedersen P. , Larusson S. ,
  • 72', Sigurdsson K. 🟨,
  • 77', Hugason S. , Cogic E. ,
  • 83', Haraldsson T. , Skoglund A. ,
  • 83', Heimisson L. , Palsson A. ,
  • 83', Stokke B. , Hafthorsson T. G. ,
  • 84', Antonsson B. , Palsson J. ,
  • 90+5', Magnusson H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Afturelding
22.4%
Draw
21.3%
Valur
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 21.2% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6% 20.6% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Afturelding - Valur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.2
    (4.22)
    4.41
    (4.44)
    1.67
    (1.66)
    6.5%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Afturelding - Valur?
  • Users Predictions: Valur will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Valur is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:12. (average 0.3:4).
    • Including home match between the teams, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Afturelding - Valur were as follows:
    17.05.2024 Afturelding - Valur 1:3
    Latest results of Afturelding
    24.05.2025 KA Akureyri - Afturelding 1:0
    14.05.2025 Akraness - Afturelding 0:1
    10.05.2025 Vestri - Afturelding 2:0
    05.05.2025 Afturelding - Stjarnan 3:0
    Latest results of Valur
    24.05.2025 Valur - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar 3:0
    19.05.2025 Breiðablik - Valur 2:1
    14.05.2025 Valur - Throttur Reykjavik 2:1
    10.05.2025 Valur - Akraness 6:1
    04.05.2025 FH Hafnarfjordur - Valur 3:0
    Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Valur ✔ 18114346:242237
    2Vikingur Reykjavik1895433:24932
    3Breidablik1895430:24632
    4Stjarnan1884634:30428
    5Vestri1882819:17226
    6Fram1874728:25325
    7Hafnarfjordur1864831:27422
    8KA Akureyri1864818:32-1422
    9Vestmannaeyjar1863916:25-921
    10KR Reykjavik1855839:41-220
    11Afturelding1855821:27-620
    12Akranes18511220:39-1916

          Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
          Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )