Result
4:3
26/08/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 20
- Referee: Kristjansson I. O. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 2.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (370/450) | 82% (337/409) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.47 | 2.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (370/450) | 82% (337/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/47) | 46% (23/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (93/139) | 76% (75/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.27 | 4.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 1.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 35', 0 - 1, Hafthorsson T. G. ⚽, Kassi L. (A),
- 42', 0 - 2, Magnusson H. ⚽, Bjarnason G. (A),
- 45+2', Runolfsson B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 2, Omarsson O. ⚽,
- 56', 2 - 2, Johannsson A. ⚽, Skoglund A. (A),
- 59', Eyjolfsson H. 🟨,
- 59', Omarsson O. 🟨,
- 60', 3 - 2, Jonsson J. ⚽, Skoglund A. (A),
- 68', Skoglund A. 🟨,
- 71', Johannsson A. ↓, Sigurdsson K. ↑,
- 71', Palsson A. ↓, Heimisson L. ↑,
- 73', Runolfsson B. ↓, Cogic E. ↑,
- 73', Hafthorsson T. G. ↓, Ragnarsson A. ↑,
- 74', Kassi L. ↓, Hugason S. ↑,
- 77', 4 - 2, Haraldsson T. ⚽,
- 84', Omarsson O. ↓, Heimisson B. ↑,
- 85', Skoglund A. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
- 85', Stokke B. ↓, Dadason R. ↑,
- 88', Haraldsson T. ↓, Jonsson B. ↑,
- 89', Palsson J. 🟨,
- 90', 4 - 3, Magnusson H. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Valur
62.9% | Draw
20.1% | Afturelding
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Valur - Afturelding Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↑
(1.41) |
4.63 ↓
(4.99) |
5.49 ↓
(6.09) |
7.3%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Valur - Afturelding?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Valur will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 79.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Valur (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).
- Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Afturelding may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Valur is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Valur won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:1. (average 3.5:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 4.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Valur won against Afturelding?
Valur has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Afturelding won against Valur?
Afturelding has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valur - Afturelding were as follows:
29.05.2025
Afturelding
-
Valur
0:2
17.05.2024
Afturelding
-
Valur
1:3
Latest results of Afturelding
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 49:28 | 21 | 45 |
| 2 | Stjarnan | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 41 |
| 3 | Valur | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 53:35 | 18 | 40 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Hafnarfjordur | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 31 |
| 6 | Fram | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
