Result
4:3
26/08/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 20
- Referee: Kristjansson I. O. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.75 | 2.01 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
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21 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 1 |
Passes |
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82% (370/450) | 82% (337/409) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.75 | 2.01 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
4.47 | 2.27 |
Total shots |
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21 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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15 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
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36 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 14 |
Passes |
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82% (370/450) | 82% (337/409) |
Long passes |
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38% (18/47) | 46% (23/50) |
Passes in final third |
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67% (93/139) | 76% (75/99) |
Crosses |
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41% (9/22) | 39% (7/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.70 | 1.15 |
Throw-ins |
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27 | 22 |
Fouls |
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14 | 7 |
Tackles |
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80% (8/10) | 67% (6/9) |
Duels won |
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35 | 38 |
Clearances |
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25 | 26 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.27 | 4.47 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.73 | 1.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 35', 0 - 1, Hafthorsson T. G. ⚽, Kassi L. (A),
- 42', 0 - 2, Magnusson H. ⚽, Bjarnason G. (A),
- 45+2', Runolfsson B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 2, Omarsson O. ⚽,
- 56', 2 - 2, Johannsson A. ⚽, Skoglund A. (A),
- 59', Eyjolfsson H. 🟨,
- 59', Omarsson O. 🟨,
- 60', 3 - 2, Jonsson J. ⚽, Skoglund A. (A),
- 68', Skoglund A. 🟨,
- 71', Johannsson A. ↓, Sigurdsson K. ↑,
- 71', Palsson A. ↓, Heimisson L. ↑,
- 73', Runolfsson B. ↓, Cogic E. ↑,
- 73', Hafthorsson T. G. ↓, Ragnarsson A. ↑,
- 74', Kassi L. ↓, Hugason S. ↑,
- 77', 4 - 2, Haraldsson T. ⚽,
- 84', Omarsson O. ↓, Heimisson B. ↑,
- 85', Skoglund A. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
- 85', Stokke B. ↓, Dadason R. ↑,
- 88', Haraldsson T. ↓, Jonsson B. ↑,
- 89', Palsson J. 🟨,
- 90', 4 - 3, Magnusson H. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Valur 62.9% | Draw 20.1% | Afturelding 17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Valur - Afturelding Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.48 ↑ (1.41) |
4.63 ↓ (4.99) |
5.49 ↓ (6.09) |
7.3% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Valur - Afturelding?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Valur will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 79.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Valur (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).
- Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Afturelding may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Valur is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Valur won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:1. (average 3.5:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 4.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Valur won against Afturelding?
Valur has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Afturelding won against Valur?
Afturelding has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valur - Afturelding were as follows:
29.05.2025
Afturelding
-
Valur
0:2
17.05.2024
Afturelding
-
Valur
1:3
Latest results of Afturelding
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Valur ✔ | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 52:33 | 19 | 40 |
2 | Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 40:27 | 13 | 39 |
3 | Stjarnan ✔ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Breidablik ✔ | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Hafnarfjordur | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Fram | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 28 |
7 | Vestmannaeyjar | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
8 | Vestri | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
9 | KA Akureyri | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:38 | -13 | 26 |
10 | KR Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 42:44 | -2 | 24 |
11 | Afturelding ✔ | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
12 | Akranes ✔ | 20 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Vikingur Reykjavik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Stjarnan is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Breidablik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
KR Reykjavik is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Afturelding is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Akranes is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )