Result
1:1
06/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland 2 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (565/639) | 70% (196/280) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (565/639) | 70% (196/280) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 77% (33/43) | 45% (29/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (120/163) | 45% (24/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (9/30) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 100% (10/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Pedersen J. ⚽, Montiel D. (A),
- 25', Barkarson B. B. 🟨,
- 28', Sigurjonsson O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Gbadamosi F. 🟨,
- 51', Magnusson H. 🟨,
- 61', Barkarson B. B. ↓, Kassi L. ↑,
- 74', Kralj A. ↓, Svavarsson G. ↑,
- 74', Phete T. ↓, Sigurbjornsson E. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Stokke B. (Pen),
- 79', Cogic E. 🟨,
- 81', Tufegdzic V. 🟨,
- 84', Johannsson A. ↓, Ragnarsson A. ↑,
- 84', Bjarnason G. ↓, Hafthorsson T. G. ↑,
- 84', Montiel D. ↓, Duah E. ↑,
- 90+7', Hlynsson A. ↓, Einarsson G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Afturelding
47.2% | Draw
26.4% | Vestri
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Vestri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vestri than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Afturelding - Vestri Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.86) |
3.53
(3.53) |
3.54 ↓
(3.97) |
7.3%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Afturelding - Vestri?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Afturelding (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Afturelding will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Vestri has had a series of home games.
- Afturelding is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Afturelding won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Afturelding won against Vestri?
Afturelding has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vestri won against Afturelding?
Vestri has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Afturelding - Vestri were as follows:
10.05.2025
Vestri
-
Afturelding
2:0
30.09.2023
Vestri
-
Afturelding
1:0
16.08.2023
Vestri
-
Afturelding
2:2
10.06.2023
Afturelding
-
Vestri
3:1
Latest results of Afturelding
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 47:28 | 19 | 37 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 34:24 | 10 | 35 |
| 3 | Stjarnan | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 38:32 | 6 | 34 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34:29 | 5 | 32 |
| 5 | Hafnarfjordur | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Vestri | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 20:19 | 1 | 26 |
| 7 | KA Akureyri | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:35 | -12 | 26 |
| 8 | Fram | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 25 |
| 9 | Vestmannaeyjar | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 25 |
| 10 | KR Reykjavik | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 41:43 | -2 | 23 |
| 11 | Afturelding | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Akranes | 19 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 20:40 | -20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
