Bagnolese vs Aglianese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group D Bagnolese - Aglianese
Result
1:0
16/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 35

Chances of winning


Bagnolese
36.2%
Draw
30.7%
Aglianese
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 30.9% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 32.1% 40.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bagnolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bagnolese's performance.
  • Aglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aglianese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bagnolese than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bagnolese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aglianese than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aglianese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bagnolese - Aglianese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (3)
    2.98
    (2.93)
    2.76
    (2.32)
    9.3%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bagnolese won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Bagnolese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Bagnolese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bagnolese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bagnolese - Aglianese were as follows:
    04.12.2022 Aglianese - Bagnolese 0:1
    Latest results of Bagnolese
    06.04.2023 Ravenna - Bagnolese 0:1
    01.04.2023 Bagnolese - Corticella 0:0
    19.03.2023 Scandicci - Bagnolese 2:2
    Latest results of Aglianese
    06.04.2023 Aglianese - Forlì 1:0
    02.04.2023 SantAngelo - Aglianese 0:0
    19.03.2023 Aglianese - Salsomaggiore 1:0
    12.03.2023 Aglianese - Pistoiese 1:2
    05.03.2023 Scandicci - Aglianese 1:0
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1