Result
3:2
17/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 8
- Referee: Toxtasinov T. (Uzb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Uzbekistan | MTRK Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 9', 1 - 0, Haghnazari S. ⚽, Kholmurodov A. (A),
- 12', Filipovic V. 🟨,
- 13', 2 - 0, Kosimov M. ⚽,
- 26', Khamroev U. 🟨,
- 29', 2 - 1, Esanov S. ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 2, Esanov S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Rodic V. 🟨,
- 52', Mladjovic B. 🟨,
- 62', Kosimov M. ↓, Sentoku A. ↑,
- 66', Rodic V. ↓, Begic D. ↑,
- 66', Esanov S. ↓, Juraev A. ↑,
- 72', Mukhtorov K. 🟨,
- 74', Mamasidikov T. ↓, Yuldoshev M. ↑,
- 74', Ubaydullaev S. ↓, Kacharava N. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 2, Abdurazzakov N. ⚽,
- 80', Ruziev J. ↓, Joraboev A. ↑,
- 88', Haghnazari S. ↓, Toirov S. ↑,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
AGMK 52.2% | Draw 27.4% | Buxoro 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AGMK's performance.Buxoro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
AGMK - Buxoro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↓ (1.98) |
3.34 ↑ (3.12) |
4.5 ↑ (3.83) |
9.2% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AGMK - Buxoro?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. AGMK will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Buxoro will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AGMK won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- AGMK might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, AGMK won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, AGMK won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has AGMK won against Buxoro?
AGMK has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buxoro won against AGMK?
Buxoro has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AGMK - Buxoro were as follows:
01.08.2025
Buxoro
-
AGMK
0:2
25.06.2025
Buxoro
-
AGMK
3:1
07.03.2025
AGMK
-
Buxoro
2:1
22.11.2023
Buxoro
-
AGMK
0:1
26.05.2023
AGMK
-
Buxoro
3:1
Uzbek League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25:3 | 22 | 28 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:12 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Navbahor Namangan | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | OKMK | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Lok. Tashkent | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Andijan | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Xorazm Urganch | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Din. Samarkand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Sogdiana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19:25 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4:21 | -17 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga