Pakhtakor vs AGMK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Pakhtakor - AGMK
Result
1:2
05/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
uzbekistanUzbekistanFutbol TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
195
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
195
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
122
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Sanchez R. , Komilov A. (A),
  • 23', Khamraliev M. 🟨,
  • 35', Sanchez R. 🟨,
  • 38', Abdumazhidov M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Khamdamov D. , Riascos B. ,
  • 46', Khamraliev M. , Flamarion ,
  • 46', Saitov D. , Turgunboev A. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Sergeev I. ,
  • 53', Akhmadaliev D. 🟨,
  • 63', Senaga N. , Abdurazzakov N. ,
  • 63', Kosimov M. , Kholmurodov A. ,
  • 75', Yuldashev I. , Sobirzhonov A. ,
  • 77', Sergeev I. , Abdikholikov B. ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, Sanchez R. , Abdurazzakov N. (A),
  • 87', Sobirkhuzhaev S. , Ibrokhimov I. ,
  • 88', Komilov A. , Mukimzhonov A. ,
  • 88', Akhmadaliev D. , Begimov E. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Pakhtakor
55.2%
Draw
24.4%
AGMK
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 24.8% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1% 23.6% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • AGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Pakhtakor - AGMK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.61)
    3.77
    (3.72)
    4.51
    (5.12)
    8.6%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Pakhtakor - AGMK?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pakhtakor will win (votes: 7 - 70%). AGMK will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pakhtakor: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pakhtakor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 1.
    • Pakhtakor is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, AGMK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, AGMK has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Pakhtakor is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:20. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pakhtakor - AGMK were as follows:
    21.11.2024 Pakhtakor - AGMK 0:2
    21.06.2024 AGMK - Pakhtakor 4:2
    28.09.2023 Pakhtakor - AGMK 2:2
    22.04.2023 AGMK - Pakhtakor 1:2
    15.09.2022 AGMK - Pakhtakor 0:2
    Latest results of Pakhtakor
    Latest results of AGMK
    01.08.2025 Buxoro - AGMK 0:2
    05.07.2025 Mashal Mubarek - AGMK 0:1
    30.06.2025 AGMK - Surkhon Termez 0:1
    25.06.2025 Buxoro - AGMK 3:1
    21.06.2025 Navbahor Namangan - AGMK 3:0
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi26169150:203057
    2Neftchi Fargona26176342:192357
    3Pakhtakor26164653:203352
    4Din. Samarkand25138439:281147
    5Bunyodkor261210442:311146
    6OKMK26125936:29741
    7Navbahor Namangan26107939:33637
    8Qizilqum26881022:33-1132
    9Sogdiana26871132:33-131
    10Kokand 191226851322:38-1629
    11Andijan24771032:39-728
    12Termez Surkhon25671219:28-925
    13Xorazm Urganch26661428:31-324
    14Buxoro26661427:45-1824
    15Mashal Muborak26651519:45-2623
    16Shortan Guzor26261819:49-3012

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