Pakhtakor vs AGMK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
uzbekistanUzbekistanFutbol TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
195
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
195
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
122
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Sanchez R. , Komilov A. (A),
  • 23', Khamraliev M. 🟨,
  • 35', Sanchez R. 🟨,
  • 38', Abdumazhidov M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Khamdamov D. , Riascos B. ,
  • 46', Khamraliev M. , Flamarion ,
  • 46', Saitov D. , Turgunboev A. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Sergeev I. ,
  • 53', Akhmadaliev D. 🟨,
  • 63', Senaga N. , Abdurazzakov N. ,
  • 63', Kosimov M. , Kholmurodov A. ,
  • 75', Yuldashev I. , Sobirzhonov A. ,
  • 77', Sergeev I. , Abdikholikov B. ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, Sanchez R. , Abdurazzakov N. (A),
  • 87', Sobirkhuzhaev S. , Ibrokhimov I. ,
  • 88', Komilov A. , Mukimzhonov A. ,
  • 88', Akhmadaliev D. , Begimov E. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Pakhtakor
55.2%
Draw
24.4%
AGMK
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 24.8% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1% 23.6% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • AGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Pakhtakor - AGMK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.61)
    3.77
    (3.72)
    4.51
    (5.12)
    8.6%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Pakhtakor - AGMK?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pakhtakor will win (votes: 7 - 70%). AGMK will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pakhtakor: 41.6%98.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pakhtakor will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 1.
    • Pakhtakor is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, AGMK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, AGMK has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Pakhtakor is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:20. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pakhtakor - AGMK were as follows:
    21.11.2024 Pakhtakor - AGMK 0:2
    21.06.2024 AGMK - Pakhtakor 4:2
    28.09.2023 Pakhtakor - AGMK 2:2
    22.04.2023 AGMK - Pakhtakor 1:2
    15.09.2022 AGMK - Pakhtakor 0:2
    Latest results of Pakhtakor
    Latest results of AGMK
    01.08.2025 Buxoro - AGMK 0:2
    05.07.2025 Mashal Mubarek - AGMK 0:1
    30.06.2025 AGMK - Surkhon Termez 0:1
    25.06.2025 Buxoro - AGMK 3:1
    21.06.2025 Navbahor Namangan - AGMK 3:0
    Uzbek League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Neftchi Fargona440012:11112
    2Buxoro43106:2410
    3Pakhtakor43018:539
    4Lok. Tashkent42116:427
    5Nasaf Qarshi42114:227
    6Bunyodkor42114:317
    7Andijan42027:526
    8Navbahor Namangan42025:416
    9Qizilqum42024:406
    10OKMK41123:4-14
    11Xorazm Urganch41123:4-14
    12Kokand 191241123:4-14
    13Din. Samarkand41125:7-24
    14Termez Surkhon41122:6-44
    15Sogdiana40134:12-81
    16Mashal Muborak40040:9-90

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