Pakhtakor vs AGMK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
uzbekistanUzbekistanFutbol TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
195
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
195
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
122
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Sanchez R. , Komilov A. (A),
  • 23', Khamraliev M. 🟨,
  • 35', Sanchez R. 🟨,
  • 38', Abdumazhidov M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Khamdamov D. , Riascos B. ,
  • 46', Khamraliev M. , Flamarion ,
  • 46', Saitov D. , Turgunboev A. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Sergeev I. ,
  • 53', Akhmadaliev D. 🟨,
  • 63', Senaga N. , Abdurazzakov N. ,
  • 63', Kosimov M. , Kholmurodov A. ,
  • 75', Yuldashev I. , Sobirzhonov A. ,
  • 77', Sergeev I. , Abdikholikov B. ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, Sanchez R. , Abdurazzakov N. (A),
  • 87', Sobirkhuzhaev S. , Ibrokhimov I. ,
  • 88', Komilov A. , Mukimzhonov A. ,
  • 88', Akhmadaliev D. , Begimov E. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Pakhtakor
55.2%
Draw
24.4%
AGMK
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 24.8% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1% 23.6% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • AGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Pakhtakor - AGMK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.61)
    3.77
    (3.72)
    4.51
    (5.12)
    8.6%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Pakhtakor - AGMK?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pakhtakor will win (votes: 7 - 70%). AGMK will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pakhtakor: 41.6%98.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pakhtakor will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 1.
    • Pakhtakor is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, AGMK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, AGMK has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Pakhtakor is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:20. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pakhtakor - AGMK were as follows:
    21.11.2024 Pakhtakor - AGMK 0:2
    21.06.2024 AGMK - Pakhtakor 4:2
    28.09.2023 Pakhtakor - AGMK 2:2
    22.04.2023 AGMK - Pakhtakor 1:2
    15.09.2022 AGMK - Pakhtakor 0:2
    Latest results of Pakhtakor
    Latest results of AGMK
    01.08.2025 Buxoro - AGMK 0:2
    05.07.2025 Mashal Mubarek - AGMK 0:1
    30.06.2025 AGMK - Surkhon Termez 0:1
    25.06.2025 Buxoro - AGMK 3:1
    21.06.2025 Navbahor Namangan - AGMK 3:0
    Uzbek League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Andijan11004:043
    2Neftchi Fargona11003:033
    3Lok. Tashkent11003:123
    4Pakhtakor11002:023
    5Navbahor Namangan11002:113
    6Bunyodkor11001:013
    7Buxoro11001:013
    8Nasaf Qarshi11001:013
    9Din. Samarkand10011:2-10
    10OKMK10010:1-10
    11Xorazm Urganch10010:1-10
    12Kokand 191210010:1-10
    13Termez Surkhon10011:3-20
    14Qizilqum10010:2-20
    15Mashal Muborak10010:3-30
    16Sogdiana10010:4-40

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