Pakhtakor vs AGMK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Pakhtakor - AGMK
Result
1:2
05/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
uzbekistanUzbekistanFutbol TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
195
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
195
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
122
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Sanchez R. , Komilov A. (A),
  • 23', Khamraliev M. 🟨,
  • 35', Sanchez R. 🟨,
  • 38', Abdumazhidov M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Khamdamov D. , Riascos B. ,
  • 46', Khamraliev M. , Flamarion ,
  • 46', Saitov D. , Turgunboev A. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Sergeev I. ,
  • 53', Akhmadaliev D. 🟨,
  • 63', Senaga N. , Abdurazzakov N. ,
  • 63', Kosimov M. , Kholmurodov A. ,
  • 75', Yuldashev I. , Sobirzhonov A. ,
  • 77', Sergeev I. , Abdikholikov B. ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, Sanchez R. , Abdurazzakov N. (A),
  • 87', Sobirkhuzhaev S. , Ibrokhimov I. ,
  • 88', Komilov A. , Mukimzhonov A. ,
  • 88', Akhmadaliev D. , Begimov E. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Pakhtakor
55.2%
Draw
24.4%
AGMK
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 24.8% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1% 23.6% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • AGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Pakhtakor - AGMK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.61)
    3.77
    (3.72)
    4.51
    (5.12)
    8.6%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Pakhtakor - AGMK?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pakhtakor will win (votes: 7 - 70%). AGMK will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pakhtakor: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pakhtakor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 1.
    • Pakhtakor is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, AGMK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, AGMK has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Pakhtakor is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:20. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pakhtakor - AGMK were as follows:
    21.11.2024 Pakhtakor - AGMK 0:2
    21.06.2024 AGMK - Pakhtakor 4:2
    28.09.2023 Pakhtakor - AGMK 2:2
    22.04.2023 AGMK - Pakhtakor 1:2
    15.09.2022 AGMK - Pakhtakor 0:2
    Latest results of Pakhtakor
    Latest results of AGMK
    01.08.2025 Buxoro - AGMK 0:2
    05.07.2025 Mashal Mubarek - AGMK 0:1
    30.06.2025 AGMK - Surkhon Termez 0:1
    25.06.2025 Buxoro - AGMK 3:1
    21.06.2025 Navbahor Namangan - AGMK 3:0
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi19117134:151940
    2Neftchi Fargona19116230:161439
    3Din. Samarkand19107229:22737
    4OKMK19104526:19734
    5Pakhtakor19103636:171933
    6Navbahor Namangan1994634:201431
    7Bunyodkor1887329:191031
    8Termez Surkhon1865717:19-223
    9Qizilqum1857616:25-922
    10Andijan1856723:25-221
    11Sogdiana1955921:24-320
    12Xorazm Urganch1854922:22019
    13Kokand 191218431113:31-1815
    14Mashal Muborak18431115:35-2015
    15Buxoro18351017:30-1314
    16Shortan Guzor19241311:34-2310

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