Result
3:2
21/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 15
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Reinaldo A. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 61', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 62', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 89', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+7', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Agoncillo
57.3% | Draw
24.8% | San Marcial
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Agoncillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)San Marcial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Agoncillo - San Marcial Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.57) |
3.64 ↑
(3.61) |
5.06 ↓
(5.2) |
10.6%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Agoncillo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- San Marcial has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Agoncillo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Agoncillo is the team to beat.
- We predict that Agoncillo will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Agoncillo won against San Marcial?
Agoncillo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Marcial won against Agoncillo?
San Marcial has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Agoncillo - San Marcial were as follows:
Latest results of Agoncillo
Latest results of San Marcial
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 81:21 | 60 | 74 |
| 2 | Varea | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 49:23 | 26 | 68 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 66:23 | 43 | 62 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 71:21 | 50 | 55 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 46 |
| 9 | Vianes | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 10 | Yague | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Berceo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 38:43 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | San Marcial | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | CDFC Calzada | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:52 | -16 | 33 |
| 14 | Comillas | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 26:51 | -25 | 31 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | Villegas | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 32:60 | -28 | 26 |
| 17 | Autol | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18:70 | -52 | 14 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 30 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 22:71 | -49 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
