Result
3:2
21/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 15
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Reinaldo A. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 61', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 62', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 89', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+7', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Agoncillo
57.3% | Draw
24.8% | San Marcial
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Agoncillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)San Marcial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Agoncillo - San Marcial Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.57) |
3.64 ↑
(3.61) |
5.06 ↓
(5.2) |
10.6%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Agoncillo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- San Marcial has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Agoncillo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Agoncillo is the team to beat.
- We predict that Agoncillo will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Agoncillo won against San Marcial?
Agoncillo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Marcial won against Agoncillo?
San Marcial has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Agoncillo - San Marcial were as follows:
Latest results of Agoncillo
Latest results of San Marcial
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 32 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 86:22 | 64 | 80 |
| 2 | Varea | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 50:24 | 26 | 70 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 69:25 | 44 | 66 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 76:22 | 54 | 59 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 58 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 10 | 54 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 54:45 | 9 | 50 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 57:45 | 12 | 47 |
| 9 | Berceo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 39 |
| 10 | Yague | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 39 |
| 11 | Vianes | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 38 |
| 12 | San Marcial | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 39:57 | -18 | 38 |
| 13 | CDFC Calzada | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 37:53 | -16 | 35 |
| 14 | Pradejon | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 29:45 | -16 | 35 |
| 15 | Comillas | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 31:52 | -21 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 35:64 | -29 | 27 |
| 17 | Autol | 32 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 18:71 | -53 | 15 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 33 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 27:81 | -54 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
