Result
3:1
12/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 64', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 86', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Varea
51.2% | Draw
27.7% | Agoncillo
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Agoncillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Varea - Agoncillo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.61) |
3.3 ↓
(3.52) |
4.34 ↓
(5.06) |
9.2%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varea won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Varea is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Varea won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varea won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 2.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Varea won against Agoncillo?
Varea has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Agoncillo won against Varea?
Agoncillo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varea - Agoncillo were as follows:
06.12.2025
Agoncillo
-
Varea
0:1
11.05.2025
Agoncillo
-
Varea
2:2
12.01.2025
Varea
-
Agoncillo
3:2
19.02.2023
Varea
-
Agoncillo
2:1
16.10.2022
Agoncillo
-
Varea
2:0
Latest results of Agoncillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 81:21 | 60 | 74 |
| 2 | Varea | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 49:23 | 26 | 68 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 66:23 | 43 | 62 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 71:21 | 50 | 55 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 46 |
| 9 | Vianes | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 10 | Yague | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Berceo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 38:43 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | San Marcial | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | CDFC Calzada | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:52 | -16 | 33 |
| 14 | Comillas | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 26:51 | -25 | 31 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | Villegas | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 32:60 | -28 | 26 |
| 17 | Autol | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18:70 | -52 | 14 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 30 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 22:71 | -49 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
