Result
0:1
02/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 6
- Referee: dos Santos F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (476/529) | 74% (186/251) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 79% (99/125) | 60% (40/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 25% (2/8) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 55% (12/22) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Leo Oliveira 🟨,
- 25', Elvis ↓, Jean Dias ↑,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Danilo Barcelos (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Artur ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 57', Neilton ↓, Mike ↑,
- 63', Saimon 🟨,
- 67', Victor Andrade ↓, Everton Brito ↑,
- 67', Darnlei ↓, Bruno Lopes ↑,
- 75', Villian Guilherme ↓, Arthur Korek ↑,
- 75', Luan Dias ↓, Ramon Vinicius ↑,
- 75', Saimon ↓, Sergio Raphael ↑,
- 77', Arthur Korek 🟨,
- 82', Concha V. 🟨,
- 85', Netinho ↓, Wesley Dias ↑,
- 85', Davi Gomes ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
Chances of winning
Água Santa
32.4% | Draw
30.8% | Ponte Preta
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Água Santa's form might have worsened.Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Água Santa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Água Santa - Ponte Preta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.41) |
2.99 ↓
(3.11) |
2.51 ↓
(2.9) |
8.2%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Água Santa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Ponte Preta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Água Santa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:7 (average 1.5:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Água Santa won against Ponte Preta?
Água Santa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Água Santa?
Ponte Preta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Água Santa - Ponte Preta were as follows:
Latest results of Água Santa
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
