Portuguesa vs Água Santa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Portuguesa - Água Santa
Result
2:1
12/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
13
Total shots
107
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
13
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Marcelo Freitas ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Lucas Duni ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 85', 2 - 1, Lohan ,

Chances of winning


Portuguesa
55.5%
Draw
26.2%
Água Santa
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 26.1% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 25.4% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Portuguesa - Água Santa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.76)
    3.45
    (3.45)
    4.97
    (3.95)
    10.5%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Portuguesa - Água Santa?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Portuguesa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Portuguesa is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.4:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portuguesa - Água Santa were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Água Santa - Portuguesa 2:1
    12.02.2025 Água Santa - Portuguesa 0:0
    15.02.2024 Portuguesa - Água Santa 1:1
    29.01.2023 Água Santa - Portuguesa 2:1
    Latest results of Portuguesa
    Latest results of Água Santa
    14.06.2025 Água Santa - Boavista 2:0
    07.06.2025 Maricá - Água Santa 0:1
    31.05.2025 Água Santa - Maricá 1:1
    24.05.2025 Boavista - Água Santa 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2