Águia de Marabá vs Independência – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
25/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/128-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
61
Corner kicks
31
Total shots
96
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, PH ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 75', 2 - 0, Gustavo Vintecinco ,

Chances of winning


Águia de Marabá
65.2%
Draw
21.2%
Independência
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 22.3% 12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7% 21.5% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Águia de Marabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Independência has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independência than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Águia de Marabá - Independência Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.4)
    4.31
    (4.08)
    6.79
    (7.35)
    8.7%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Águia de Marabá have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Independência is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Águia de Marabá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Águia de Marabá is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Águia de Marabá won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Águia de Marabá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Águia de Marabá - Independência were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Águia de Marabá - Independência 4:1
    27.04.2025 Independência - Águia de Marabá 0:2
    22.01.2025 Águia de Marabá - Independência 2:1
    Latest results of Águia de Marabá
    Latest results of Independência
    Draw
    2026

    1/256-finals
    1IvinhemaIndependente AP1 : 0
    2ByeVolta Redonda
    3America RNBye
    4ByeGAS
    5Barra FCBye
    7America MGBye
    8America SETirol1 : 2
    9Sampaio Correa FEDesportiva Ferroviaria1 : 2
    10ByeSport Recife
    11AnapolisBye
    12ByeCianorte
    13Rio Branco ESBye
    14ByeAthletic Club
    15Ypiranga FCBye
    16Ji-ParanaPantanal2 : 0
    17CastanhalBye
    18ByeGuarani
    19Nova IguacuBye
    20ByeLagarto
    21ManauaraBye
    22ByeItabaiana
    23FortalezaBye
    24MaguaryLaguna RN1 : 0
    25Santa CatarinaIAPE2 : 0
    26ByeCuiaba
    27CeilandiaBye
    28ByeJacuipense
    29MixtoBye
    30ByeBotafogo PB
    31NovorizontinoBye
    32ByeNacional-AM
    33JoinvilleBye
    34ByeCSA
    35Sao BernardoBye
    36ByeAlagoinhas
    37Sao LuizBye
    38ByeMaranhao
    39CearaBye
    40AraguainaPrimavera0 : 3
    41Vasco da Gama ACVelo Clube1 : 2
    42ByeVila Nova FC
    43ASABye
    44ByeOperario MS
    45ConfiancaBye
    47TombenseBye
    48ByeOratorio
    49Operario VGBye
    50ByePorto Velho
    51Atletico GOBye
    52Primavera ACBragantino2 : 1
    53Ponte PretaBye
    55SER CaxiasBye
    56ByeGuarany de Bage
    57BoavistaBye
    58ByeMaringa FC
    59RetroBye
    60ByeUberlandia
    61GamaMonte Roraima2 : 0
    62ByeGoias
    63TremBye
    64ByeFluminense-PI
    65Tuna LusoBye
    66ByeTocantinopolis
    67JuventudeBye
    68GalvezGuapore1 : 2
    69BareMadureira0 : 3
    70ByeABC
    71Aguia De MarabaBye
    72ByeIndependencia
    73Capital FCBye
    74ByeManaus
    75LondrinaBye
    76ByeSC Penedense
    77BetimPiaui1 : 0
    78ByeOperario-PR
    79JuazeirenseBye
    80ByeCapital
    81Santa CruzBye
    82ByeSousa
    83CRBBye
    84Porto-BASerra Branca2 : 1
    85ImperatrizBye
    86ByeAmazonas
    87FigueirenseBye
    88ByeAzuriz
    89PortuguesaBye
    90ByeAE Altos
    91AvaiBye
    92ByePorto Vitoria
    93Paysandu PABye
    95Portuguesa RJBye
    96ByeMaracana

    1/128-finals
    1IvinhemaVolta Redonda2 : 4
    2America RNGAS3 : 0
    3Barra FCBye
    4America MGTirol2 : 1
    5Desportiva FerroviariaSport Recife0 : 1
    6AnapolisCianorte3 : 1
    7Rio Branco ESAthletic Club1 : 2
    8Ypiranga FCJi-Parana2 : 0
    9CastanhalGuarani2 : 1
    10Nova IguacuLagarto2 : 1
    11ManauaraItabaiana3 : 1
    12FortalezaMaguary4 : 3
    13Santa CatarinaCuiaba2 : 1
    14CeilandiaJacuipense1 : 2
    15MixtoBotafogo PB2 : 1
    16NovorizontinoNacional-AM4 : 0
    17JoinvilleCSA1 : 0
    18Sao BernardoAlagoinhas2 : 0
    19Sao LuizMaranhao0 : 1
    20CearaPrimavera2 : 1
    21Velo ClubeVila Nova FC0 : 1
    22ASAOperario MS1 : 2
    23ConfiancaBye
    24TombenseOratorio2 : 1
    25Operario VGPorto Velho1 : 2
    26Atletico GOPrimavera AC1 : 0
    27Ponte PretaBye
    28SER CaxiasGuarany de Bage0 : 1
    29BoavistaMaringa FC2 : 3
    30RetroUberlandia1 : 2
    31GamaGoias2 : 3
    32TremFluminense-PI0 : 1
    33Tuna LusoTocantinopolis4 : 1
    34JuventudeGuapore5 : 0
    35MadureiraABC1 : 0
    36Aguia De MarabaIndependencia2 : 0
    37Capital FCManaus1 : 2
    38LondrinaSC Penedense1 : 0
    39BetimOperario-PR0 : 2
    40JuazeirenseCapital1 : 2
    41Santa CruzSousa0 : 1
    42CRBPorto-BA6 : 0
    43ImperatrizAmazonas0 : 3
    44FigueirenseAzuriz1 : 0
    45PortuguesaAE Altos5 : 1
    46AvaiPorto Vitoria3 : 0
    47Paysandu PABye
    48Portuguesa RJMaracana1 : 0

    1/64-finals
    1Volta RedondaAmerica RN1 : 0
    2Barra FCAmerica MG1 : 0
    3Sport RecifeAnapolis2 : 1
    4Athletic ClubYpiranga FC2 : 0
    5CastanhalNova Iguacu0 : 4
    6ManauaraFortaleza0 : 1
    7Santa CatarinaJacuipense0 : 1
    8MixtoNovorizontino0 : 3
    9JoinvilleSao Bernardo0 : 1
    10MaranhaoCeara0 : 1
    11Vila Nova FCOperario MS2 : 1
    12ConfiancaTombense2 : 0
    13Porto VelhoAtletico GO0 : 1
    14Ponte PretaGuarany de Bage1 : 0
    15Maringa FCUberlandia3 : 2
    16GoiasFluminense-PI3 : 0
    17Tuna LusoJuventude1 : 2
    18MadureiraAguia De Maraba0 : 1
    19ManausLondrina0 : 1
    20Operario-PRCapital2 : 0
    21SousaCRB0 : 2
    22AmazonasFigueirense0 : 1
    23PortuguesaAvai2 : 1
    24Paysandu PAPortuguesa RJ3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1Volta RedondaBarra FC0 : 1
    2Sport RecifeAthletic Club1 : 3
    3Nova IguacuFortaleza0 : 1
    4JacuipenseNovorizontino1 : 0
    5Sao BernardoCeara0 : 1
    6Vila Nova FCConfianca0 : 1
    7Atletico GOPonte Preta1 : 0
    8Maringa FCGoias0 : 1
    9JuventudeAguia De Maraba3 : 0
    10LondrinaOperario-PR0 : 1
    11CRBFigueirense1 : 0
    12PortuguesaPaysandu PA2 : 3