Águia de Marabá vs Independência – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Águia de Marabá - Independência
Result
4:1
19/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 13

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
204
Shots on target
143
Corner Kicks
23
Red Cards
01
Total shots
204
Shots on target
143
Shots off target
61
Corner Kicks
23
Goalkeeper Saves
210

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 52', 1 - 0, Daniel GTA ,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Romarinho ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Juan Douglas ,
  • 74', 3 - 1, Debu ,
  • 80', 🟥,
  • 90+3', 4 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Águia de Marabá
54.2%
Draw
28.4%
Independência
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 25.7% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 27.8% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Águia de Marabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Águia de Marabá - Independência Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.7)
    3.21
    (3.5)
    5.24
    (4.2)
    9.8%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Águia de Marabá - Independência?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
    • Águia de Marabá is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Independência has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Águia de Marabá is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Águia de Marabá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Águia de Marabá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Águia de Marabá - Independência were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Independência - Águia de Marabá 0:2
    22.01.2025 Águia de Marabá - Independência 2:1
    Latest results of Águia de Marabá
    Latest results of Independência
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC0 : 1
    3ImperatrizManaus2 : 0
    4America RNJuazeirense1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe1 : 2
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville1 : 1
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0