Result
1:2
19/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Division - Apertura - Round 8
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽,
- 40', 0 - 2, Canales W. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 77', (Pen),
- 87', 1 - 2, Julio S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Águila
33.4% | Draw
30.4% | Alianza San Miguel
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Águila's form might have worsened.Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águila than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Águila, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Águila - Alianza San Miguel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.12) |
3.27 ↓
(3.46) |
2.74 ↓
(2.96) |
0.7%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Águila won 2.
- Recent form of Águila has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alianza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Águila will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Águila won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Águila won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Águila won against Alianza San Miguel?
Águila has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza San Miguel won against Águila?
Alianza San Miguel has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Águila - Alianza San Miguel were as follows:
13.04.2025
Alianza San Miguel
-
Águila
0:1
15.02.2025
Águila
-
Alianza San Miguel
0:1
10.11.2024
Alianza San Miguel
-
Águila
1:1
11.09.2024
Águila
-
Alianza San Miguel
3:0
30.03.2024
Alianza San Miguel
-
Águila
1:1
Latest results of Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Luis Angel Firpo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Alianza FC | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | FAS | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30:14 | 16 | 24 |
| 4 | Cacahuatique | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Metapan | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Platense Municipal | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeno | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | Aguila | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8:13 | -5 | 14 |
| 9 | Fuerte San Francisco | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6:17 | -11 | 10 |
| 10 | Inter F.A | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecoluca | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
| 12 | Hercules | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:27 | -15 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
