Alianza San Miguel vs Águila – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
15/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Division - Clausura - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
el-salvadorEl-salvadorTCS GO, Tigo Sports

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
48
Corner kicks
65
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
75
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+4', 0 - 1, Andrada F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 89', 0 - 2, Martinez J. ,

Chances of winning


Alianza San Miguel
38.2%
Draw
28.8%
Águila
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 27.3% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 28.4% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza San Miguel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águila than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Alianza San Miguel - Águila Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.17)
    3.19
    (3.4)
    2.79
    (3.11)
    8.7%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ))
    • Alianza is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
    • Águila is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 3.
    • In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Águila is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Águila may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Alianza has had a series of home games.
    • Alianza could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.9:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza San Miguel - Águila were as follows:
    18.02.2026 Águila - Alianza San Miguel 0:3
    01.11.2025 Alianza San Miguel - Águila 0:1
    19.09.2025 Águila - Alianza San Miguel 1:2
    13.04.2025 Alianza San Miguel - Águila 0:1
    15.02.2025 Águila - Alianza San Miguel 0:1
    Latest results of Alianza San Miguel
    Latest results of Águila
    12.04.2026 Águila - Zacatecoluca 1:0
    29.03.2026 Águila - CD FAS 3:0
    25.03.2026 Hércules - Águila 0:1
    El Salvador Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FAS ✔ 22165149:163353
    2Luis Angel Firpo ✔ 22135434:201444
    3Alianza FC ✔ 22114736:30637
    4Inter F.A ✔ 22106627:25236
    5Municipal Limeno ✔ 22105733:211235
    6Aguila ✔ 22105727:24335
    7Metapan ✔ 2269723:30-727
    8Cacahuatique2268824:28-426
    9Platense Municipal22481024:31-720
    10Hercules22471127:43-1619
    11Fuerte San Francisco22281218:35-1714
    12Zacatecoluca22341523:42-1913

          Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    FAS is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
    Luis Angel Firpo is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
    Alianza FC is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
    Inter F.A is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
    Municipal Limeno is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
    Aguila is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
    Metapan is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )