Result
2:0
19/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 78', 1 - 0, Castedo J. ⚽,
- 83', 2 - 0, Hidalgo A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Águilas
61.4% | Draw
24.3% | Lorca Deportiva
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-14.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águilas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Águilas - Lorca Deportiva Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.4) |
3.78 ↓
(4.14) |
6.41 ↓
(6.92) |
9%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 3.
- Águilas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lorca Deportiva's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Águilas is the clear favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Águilas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Águilas won against Lorca Deportiva?
Águilas has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorca Deportiva won against Águilas?
Lorca Deportiva has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Águilas - Lorca Deportiva were as follows:
14.12.2025
Lorca Deportiva
-
Águilas
0:1
15.08.2025
Águilas
-
Lorca Deportiva
1:1
15.08.2024
Águilas
-
Lorca Deportiva
4:0
15.08.2023
Águilas
-
Lorca Deportiva
1:1
12.02.2023
Águilas
-
Lorca Deportiva
1:0
Latest results of Águilas
Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 16 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 17 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 20 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 10 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 16 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 8 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | -3 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 0 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | -27 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | -34 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
