Result
1:2
22/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Aquino D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 74', 1 - 1, Kouassi B. ⚽,
- 83', 1 - 2, Mizzian M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 86', 🟥,
- 86', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Águilas 41.1% | Draw 32.1% | UCAM Murcia 26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Águilas - UCAM Murcia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.21 ↑ (2.17) |
2.83 ↓ (3.04) |
3.39 ↑ (3.31) |
10.1% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Águilas could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Águilas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Águilas won against UCAM Murcia?
Águilas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UCAM Murcia won against Águilas?
UCAM Murcia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Águilas - UCAM Murcia were as follows:
04.01.2026
UCAM Murcia
-
Águilas
1:0
16.02.2025
Águilas
-
UCAM Murcia
2:1
06.10.2024
UCAM Murcia
-
Águilas
1:1
10.03.2024
UCAM Murcia
-
Águilas
0:0
29.10.2023
Águilas
-
UCAM Murcia
1:0
Latest results of Águilas
Latest results of UCAM Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Xerez CD | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 51 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 40:27 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | UCAM Murcia | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 9 | 49 |
| 4 | Aguilas FC | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Recreativo Huelva | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35:17 | 18 | 48 |
| 6 | CD Extremadura | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 42:32 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Jaen | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 28:28 | 0 | 42 |
| 9 | Linares | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 39 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 25:25 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | La Union | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:35 | -1 | 36 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 36 |
| 13 | Xerez D.F.C | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 31:33 | -2 | 34 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | CD Estepona | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Melilla | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20:40 | -20 | 19 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 22:51 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Malaga B is Relegated to