Result
1:2
22/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Aquino D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 74', 1 - 1, Kouassi B. ⚽,
- 83', 1 - 2, Mizzian M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 86', 🟥,
- 86', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Águilas 41.1% | Draw 32.1% | UCAM Murcia 26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Águilas - UCAM Murcia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.21 ↑ (2.17) |
2.83 ↓ (3.04) |
3.39 ↑ (3.31) |
10.1% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Águilas could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Águilas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Águilas won against UCAM Murcia?
Águilas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UCAM Murcia won against Águilas?
UCAM Murcia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Águilas - UCAM Murcia were as follows:
04.01.2026
UCAM Murcia
-
Águilas
1:0
16.02.2025
Águilas
-
UCAM Murcia
2:1
06.10.2024
UCAM Murcia
-
Águilas
1:1
10.03.2024
UCAM Murcia
-
Águilas
0:0
29.10.2023
Águilas
-
UCAM Murcia
1:0
Latest results of Águilas
Latest results of UCAM Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 48:35 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | UCAM Murcia | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 47:34 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 40:23 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Deportiva Minera | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 43:29 | 14 | 54 |
| 5 | Xerez CD | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 31:24 | 7 | 54 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 37:21 | 16 | 51 |
| 7 | Jaen | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 38:30 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 44 |
| 9 | Linares | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 44 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 29:29 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Antoniano | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 33:36 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | La Union | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | -1 | 39 |
| 13 | Puente Genil | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 37 |
| 14 | CD Estepona | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34:40 | -6 | 37 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 31:38 | -7 | 35 |
| 16 | Melilla | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31:32 | -1 | 33 |
| 17 | Almeria B ✔ | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 22:46 | -24 | 20 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 25:59 | -34 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Almeria B is Relegated to
Malaga B is Relegated to