Result
1:2
24/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 5
- Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Denmark | Discovery+ |
Finland | Max |
Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play |
Chances of winning
Värnamo 31.5% | Draw 31.3% | AIK 37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AIK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AIK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Värnamo - AIK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.05 ↓ (3.2) |
3.02 ↓ (3.4) |
2.54 ↑ (2.2) |
5.3% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Värnamo - AIK?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - AIK (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
AIK will win
(25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AIK will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 4).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Värnamo won 1.
- Värnamo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- AIK is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- AIK will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in AIK: Al Saed D.
(Knee Injury)
Ayari T.
(Knee Injury)
Edh E.
(Back Injury)
Ellingsen M.
(Leg Injury)
Hofvander W.
(Leg Injury)
Redkin A.
(Inactive)
Tiedemann B.
(Groin Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Värnamo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:13 (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Värnamo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against AIK?
Värnamo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AIK won against Värnamo?
AIK has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Värnamo - AIK were as follows:
28.02.2025
AIK
-
Värnamo
2:0
31.08.2024
Värnamo
-
AIK
0:1
24.04.2024
AIK
-
Värnamo
2:0
12.11.2023
AIK
-
Värnamo
3:1
24.04.2023
Värnamo
-
AIK
1:0
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Mjallby | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 20 | 40 |
2 | Hammarby | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 36 |
3 | AIK | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
4 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Elfsborg | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
6 | GAIS | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 28 |
7 | Goteborg | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Hacken | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Djurgarden | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Brommapojkarna | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Norrkoping | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 18 |
12 | Halmstad | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:31 | -17 | 17 |
13 | Sirius | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 13 |
14 | Degerfors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 13 |
15 | Oster | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Varnamo | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13:28 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan