Värnamo vs AIK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Värnamo - AIK
Result
1:2
24/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 5
  • Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkDiscovery+
finlandFinlandMax
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play

Chances of winning


Värnamo
31.5%
Draw
31.3%
AIK
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 27.7% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 27.2% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AIK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AIK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Värnamo - AIK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (3.2)
    3.02
    (3.4)
    2.54
    (2.2)
    5.3%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Värnamo - AIK?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - AIK (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: AIK will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.74%94.56%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AIK will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 4).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Värnamo won 1.
    • Värnamo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • AIK is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • AIK will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in AIK: Al Saed D. (Knee Injury) Ayari T. (Knee Injury) Edh E. (Back Injury) Ellingsen M. (Leg Injury) Hofvander W. (Leg Injury) Redkin A. (Inactive) Tiedemann B. (Groin Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Värnamo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:13 (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Värnamo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Värnamo - AIK were as follows:
    28.02.2025 AIK - Värnamo 2:0
    31.08.2024 Värnamo - AIK 0:1
    24.04.2024 AIK - Värnamo 2:0
    12.11.2023 AIK - Värnamo 3:1
    24.04.2023 Värnamo - AIK 1:0
    Latest results of Värnamo
    20.04.2025 Brommapojkarna - Värnamo 3:2
    13.04.2025 Värnamo - IFK Göteborg 0:1
    06.04.2025 Degerfors - Värnamo 1:0
    31.03.2025 Värnamo - Sirius 1:2
    22.03.2025 Värnamo - Helsingborg 3:1
    Latest results of AIK
    20.04.2025 Öster - AIK 0:1
    14.04.2025 AIK - Malmö 0:0
    06.04.2025 AIK - Norrköping 4:3
    31.03.2025 GAIS - AIK 0:1
    22.03.2025 Rosenborg - AIK 2:0
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby17124133:132040
    2Hammarby17113331:141736
    3AIK1795324:16832
    4Malmo FF1786325:121330
    5Elfsborg1692527:19829
    6GAIS1677224:131128
    7Goteborg1681721:22-125
    8Hacken1664624:25-122
    9Djurgarden1664615:17-222
    10Brommapojkarna1661921:22-119
    11Norrkoping1653825:29-418
    12Halmstad1652914:31-1717
    13Sirius1634921:28-713
    14Degerfors16411118:36-1813
    15Oster16331012:23-1112
    16Varnamo16141113:28-157

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan