Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
05:33, Layne J. (Touchdown),
05:33, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 10)
02:52, Bankston D. (Touchdown),
02:52, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
05:18, Drzewiecki L. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 0)
4th Quarter (3 - 3)
04:48, Tubbs R. (Field Goal),
11:01, Drzewiecki L. (Field Goal),

Chances of winning

Air Force Falcons
41.8%

New Mexico Lobos
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Air Force Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Air Force Falcons's form might have worsened.

New Mexico Lobos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New Mexico Lobos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Air Force Falcons than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Air Force Falcons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico Lobos than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New Mexico Lobos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Air Force Falcons - New Mexico Lobos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.98)		1.64 ↓ (1.84)	5.1% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Air Force won 4.
Air Force has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
New Mexico is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
New Mexico will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that New Mexico will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Air Force won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 437:358. (average 33.6:27.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Air Force won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 168:81. (average 28:13.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Air Force Falcons won against New Mexico Lobos?

Air Force Falcons has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico Lobos won against Air Force Falcons?

New Mexico Lobos has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Air Force Falcons - New Mexico Lobos were as follows:

12.10.2024 New Mexico Lobos - Air Force Falcons 52:37

12.11.2022 Air Force Falcons - New Mexico Lobos 35:3

Latest results of Air Force Falcons

15.11.2025 Connecticut Huskies - Air Force Falcons 26:16 ✺

08.11.2025 San Jose State Spartans - Air Force Falcons 16:26 ✺

01.11.2025 Air Force Falcons - Army Black Knights 17:20 ✺

18.10.2025 Air Force Falcons - Wyoming Cowboys 24:21 ✺

11.10.2025 UNLV Rebels - Air Force Falcons 51:48 ✺

Latest results of New Mexico Lobos

15.11.2025 New Mexico Lobos - Colorado State Rams 20:17 ✺

01.11.2025 UNLV Rebels - New Mexico Lobos 35:40 ✺

25.10.2025 New Mexico Lobos - Utah State Aggies 33:14 ✺

18.10.2025 New Mexico Lobos - Nevada Wolf Pack 24:22 ✺

11.10.2025 Boise State Broncos - New Mexico Lobos 41:25 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Indiana	Bye
2	Oklahoma	Alabama	24 : 34
3	Texas Tech	Bye
4	Oregon	James Madison	51 : 34
5	Georgia	Bye
6	Ole Miss	Tulane	41 : 10
7	Ohio State	Bye
8	Texas A&M	Miami (FL)	3 : 10

Quarter-finals

1	Indiana	Alabama	38 : 3
2	Texas Tech	Oregon	0 : 23
3	Georgia	Ole Miss	34 : 39
4	Ohio State	Miami (FL)	14 : 24

Semi-finals

1	Indiana	Oregon	56 : 22
2	Ole Miss	Miami (FL)	27 : 31

Final

1

Indiana

Miami (FL)

27 : 21