Ajaccio vs Dunkerque – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2
Football French Ligue 2 Ajaccio - Dunkerque
Result
1:2
03/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 25
  • Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
spainSpainbeIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
usaUsaFanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.00
Ball Possession
39%61%
Goal Attempts
119
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
42
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
1619
Offsides
70
Fouls
1916
Yellow Cards
40
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
2015
Touches in the Opposition Box
1320
Passes
77% (261/338)86% (459/536)
Passes in the final third
39% (26/67)56% (55/98)
Crosses
38% (5/13)28% (5/18)
Tackles
69% (9/13)100% (4/4)
Clearances Total
2020
Interceptions
128

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Courtet G. ⚽,
  • 24', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Huard M. ↓, Santelli B. ↑,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Kante A. ⚽, Soumano M. (A),
  • 58', Barreto M. ↓, Strata T. ↑,
  • 59', Al Saad M. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Skytta N. ⚽, Abner F. (A),
  • 67', Anziani J. ↓, Puch Herrantz M. ↑,
  • 74', Yassine G. ↓, Bammou Y. ↑,
  • 76', Puch Herrantz M. 🟨,
  • 77', Kouassi A. 🟨,
  • 82', Kouassi A. 🟨,
  • 87', Kante A. ↓, Chegra I. ↑,
  • 90+2', Bardeli E. ↓, Pitu A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Ajaccio
23.3%		Draw
32%		Dunkerque
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 32.2% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 32.2% 40.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
    •

    Ajaccio - Dunkerque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.11 ↑
    (3.39)    		 2.88 ↑
    (2.87)    		 2.08 ↓
    (2.28)    		 7.2%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español
    •
    What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Dunkerque?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 19.5% – 68.1%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2.
    • Ajaccio is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Dunkerque in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Dunkerque could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Dunkerque will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Campanini T. (Injury) Chegra I. (Inactive) Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Quemper S. (Injury) Silva R. (Injury) Sollacaro F. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)
    • There will not play in Dunkerque: Essimi M. (Injury) Fernandez N. (Injury) Fortuna N. (Injury) Linguet A. (Injury) Sekongo A. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Dunkerque were as follows:
    25.11.2024 Dunkerque - Ajaccio 1:0
    23.01.2024 Dunkerque - Ajaccio 2:0
    02.09.2023 Ajaccio - Dunkerque 2:2
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    22.02.2025 Metz - Ajaccio 0:1 ✺
    14.02.2025 Ajaccio - Laval 3:0 ✺
    08.02.2025 Ajaccio - Guingamp 0:3 ✺
    31.01.2025 Clermont - Ajaccio 0:1 ✺
    24.01.2025 Rodez - Ajaccio 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    26.02.2025 Brest - Dunkerque 2:3 ✺
    21.02.2025 Dunkerque - Clermont 3:0 ✺
    15.02.2025 Dunkerque - Paris FC 1:0 ✺
    10.02.2025 Caen - Dunkerque 0:2 ✺
    04.02.2025 Lille - Dunkerque 1:2 ✺
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

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