Martigues vs Ajaccio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 28
  • Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.49
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
010
Passes
77% (329/430)74% (255/343)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.21
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
010
Touches in opposition box
1726
Offsides
06
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
77% (329/430)74% (255/343)
Long passes
33% (20/60)42% (31/74)
Passes in final third
47% (46/98)66% (70/106)
Crosses
44% (4/9)21% (6/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.40
Fouls
1413
Tackles
79% (19/24)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5856
Clearances Total
4516
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.211.31
Goals prevented
1.21-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Montiel R. , Robin M. (A),
  • 35', Hadjem Y. 🟨,
  • 38', 2 - 0, Orinel O. ,
  • 45+2', Barreto M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Soumano M. , Santelli B. ,
  • 64', Kante A. , Toure B. ,
  • 66', Robin M. , Siby M. ,
  • 66', Montiel R. , Djaha A. ,
  • 79', Orinel O. , Kembolo F. ,
  • 79', Ipiele A. , Moussiti-Oko B. ,
  • 79', Barreto M. , Puch Herrantz M. ,
  • 83', Vidal C. 🟨,
  • 90', Hadjem Y. , Mendy O. ,

Chances of winning


Martigues
30.4%
Draw
30.7%
Ajaccio
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 30.1% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 30.3% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Martigues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Martigues - Ajaccio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (2.91)
    3.07
    (3.1)
    2.41
    (2.48)
    6.2%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Martigues - Ajaccio?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Martigues: 35.4%82.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 11).
    • Recent matches Martigues is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ajaccio is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ajaccio will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Martigues: Diawara A. (Injury) Orinel O. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajaccio: Anziani J. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Martigues won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Martigues - Ajaccio were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Ajaccio - Martigues 1:1
    Latest results of Martigues
    14.03.2025 Martigues - Pau 2:2
    07.03.2025 Bastia - Martigues 1:0
    28.02.2025 Laval - Martigues 0:1
    21.02.2025 Martigues - Annecy 2:0
    14.02.2025 Red Star - Martigues 1:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    14.03.2025 Ajaccio - Red Star 2:1
    07.03.2025 Grenoble - Ajaccio 2:2
    03.03.2025 Ajaccio - Dunkerque 1:2
    22.02.2025 Metz - Ajaccio 0:1
    14.02.2025 Ajaccio - Laval 3:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes27166544:271754
    2St Etienne27155746:291750
    3Le Mans271211437:261147
    4Red Star27128731:27444
    5Reims271110639:261343
    6Rodez271110634:32243
    7Montpellier271251033:25841
    8Dunkerque27109842:291339
    9Annecy271161035:30539
    10Guingamp27109838:38039
    11Pau FC27108940:44-438
    12Boulogne27961230:38-833
    13Grenoble27612924:30-630
    14Clermont27771330:36-628
    15Nancy27761424:40-1627
    16Amiens27651630:46-1623
    17Laval273111321:39-1820
    18Bastia273101414:30-1619

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National