Martigues vs Ajaccio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 28
  • Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.49
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
010
Passes
77% (329/430)74% (255/343)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.21
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
010
Touches in opposition box
1726
Offsides
06
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
77% (329/430)74% (255/343)
Long passes
33% (20/60)42% (31/74)
Passes in final third
47% (46/98)66% (70/106)
Crosses
44% (4/9)21% (6/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.40
Fouls
1413
Tackles
79% (19/24)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5856
Clearances Total
4516
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.211.31
Goals prevented
1.21-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Montiel R. , Robin M. (A),
  • 35', Hadjem Y. 🟨,
  • 38', 2 - 0, Orinel O. ,
  • 45+2', Barreto M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Soumano M. , Santelli B. ,
  • 64', Kante A. , Toure B. ,
  • 66', Robin M. , Siby M. ,
  • 66', Montiel R. , Djaha A. ,
  • 79', Orinel O. , Kembolo F. ,
  • 79', Ipiele A. , Moussiti-Oko B. ,
  • 79', Barreto M. , Puch Herrantz M. ,
  • 83', Vidal C. 🟨,
  • 90', Hadjem Y. , Mendy O. ,

Chances of winning


Martigues
30.4%
Draw
30.7%
Ajaccio
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 30.1% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 30.3% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Martigues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Martigues - Ajaccio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (2.91)
    3.07
    (3.1)
    2.41
    (2.48)
    6.2%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Martigues - Ajaccio?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Martigues: 35.4%82.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 11).
    • Recent matches Martigues is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ajaccio is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ajaccio will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Martigues: Diawara A. (Injury) Orinel O. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajaccio: Anziani J. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Martigues won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Martigues - Ajaccio were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Ajaccio - Martigues 1:1
    Latest results of Martigues
    14.03.2025 Martigues - Pau 2:2
    07.03.2025 Bastia - Martigues 1:0
    28.02.2025 Laval - Martigues 0:1
    21.02.2025 Martigues - Annecy 2:0
    14.02.2025 Red Star - Martigues 1:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    14.03.2025 Ajaccio - Red Star 2:1
    07.03.2025 Grenoble - Ajaccio 2:2
    03.03.2025 Ajaccio - Dunkerque 1:2
    22.02.2025 Metz - Ajaccio 0:1
    14.02.2025 Ajaccio - Laval 3:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes29177551:302158
    2St Etienne29166751:302154
    3Le Mans291411445:291653
    4Reims301212643:281548
    5Red Star29139732:27548
    6Rodez291112636:34245
    7Montpellier301281035:27844
    8Annecy301271136:34243
    9Pau FC301191041:48-742
    10Dunkerque291010944:35940
    11Guingamp3010101039:42-340
    12Boulogne29981230:38-835
    13Grenoble306141029:36-732
    14Clermont30791434:41-730
    15Nancy30791427:43-1630
    16Laval304131326:43-1725
    17Amiens30661834:52-1824
    18Bastia293121416:32-1621

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National