Valenciennes vs Ajaccio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/04/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 34
  • Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.28
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
1315
Shots on Goal
34
Shots off Goal
67
Blocked Shots
44
Corner Kicks
43
Offsides
30
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Fouls
1622
Yellow Cards
25
Total Passes
404399
Completed Passes
310313
Tackles
1721
Attacks
7772
Dangerous Attacks
6049
Clearances Completed
1613
Crosses Completed
47
Interceptions
712

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Quemper S. 🟨,
  • 30', Woudenberg L. 🟨,
  • 30', Martinez-Jullien O. 🟨,
  • 33', Sollacaro F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Martinez-Jullien O. , Toure W. ,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Foe Ondoa M. , Venema N. (A),
  • 52', Banse S. 🟨,
  • 63', Ibayi C. , Jacob V. ,
  • 63', Quemper S. , Khelifa A. ,
  • 66', Toure W. 🟨,
  • 67', Venema N. , Oyewusi M. ,
  • 74', Jung A. , Doucoure S. ,
  • 74', Banse S. , Masson J. ,
  • 76', Soumano M. , Touzghar Y. ,
  • 85', Nouri R. , Fosse A. ,
  • 90', Mangani T. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Flamarion , Moursou J. ,

Chances of winning


Valenciennes
19%
Draw
32.4%
Ajaccio
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.4% 32.1% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2% 31.9% 41.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valenciennes's form might have worsened.
  • Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajaccio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valenciennes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajaccio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Valenciennes - Ajaccio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.93
    (3.58)
    2.92
    (2.94)
    1.94
    (2.28)
    6.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Valenciennes - Ajaccio?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Valenciennes will win (votes: 35 - 56.5%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 20 - 32.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valenciennes: 44.2%68.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 11).
    • Valenciennes is Relegated to National
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 0.
    • Valenciennes has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Ajaccio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Ajaccio is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Ajaccio to win the game is with odds 1.94.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22-31.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valenciennes - Ajaccio were as follows:
    19.12.2023 Ajaccio - Valenciennes 2:1
    Latest results of Valenciennes
    20.04.2024 Paris FC - Valenciennes 2:1
    13.04.2024 Valenciennes - Pau 1:4
    06.04.2024 Annecy - Valenciennes 2:1
    02.04.2024 Lyon - Valenciennes 3:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    20.04.2024 Ajaccio - Caen 2:1
    13.04.2024 Ajaccio - Saint-Étienne 2:0
    06.04.2024 Pau - Ajaccio 1:1
    01.04.2024 Ajaccio - Auxerre 0:1
    16.03.2024 Paris FC - Ajaccio 2:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes ✔ 33207660:322867
    2Le Mans331514448:311759
    3St Etienne331761054:381657
    4Red Star33169844:36857
    5Rodez331413643:38555
    6Reims331314648:321653
    7Annecy331571148:371152
    8Montpellier331481140:301050
    9Pau FC331291245:57-1245
    10Dunkerque3311101251:42943
    11Guingamp3310101342:48-640
    12Grenoble337151132:39-736
    13Boulogne33991533:47-1436
    14Clermont338101537:44-734
    15Nancy338101532:50-1834
    16Laval335141428:47-1929
    17Bastia335131523:37-1428
    18Amiens ✔ 33662137:60-2324

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
    Amiens is Relegated to National