Ajax vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
0:2
25/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
japanJapanWowow Live
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaJOJ Sport 2, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Ultra
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 8, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.96
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
89% (585/658)82% (332/405)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.411.55
Total shots
711
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
1725
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
815
Passes
89% (585/658)82% (332/405)
Long passes
59% (33/56)40% (17/43)
Passes in final third
76% (108/143)73% (70/96)
Crosses
18% (5/28)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.62
Throw-ins
1615
Fouls
158
Tackles
53% (8/15)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4750
Clearances
1631
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.550.41
Goals prevented
-0.450.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Dahl S. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Wijndal O. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
  • 69', Weghorst W. 🟨,
  • 74', Dahl S. 🟨,
  • 74', Klaassen D. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
  • 74', Bounida R. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
  • 74', Godts M. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
  • 81', Sudakov G. ↓, Araujo T. ↑,
  • 83', Regeer Y. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
  • 90', 0 - 2, Barreiro L. ⚽, Aursnes F. (A),
  • 90+2', Pavlidis V. ↓, Manu ↑,
  • 90+3', Barreiro L. ↓, Rego R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Ajax
26.9%		Draw
26.5%		Benfica
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 25.9% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 26.7% 47.5%

Ajax - Benfica Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.58 ↓
(3.83)		 3.66 ↓
(3.72)		 2.08 ↑
(1.96)		 3.4%
(4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ajax - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 101 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 11 - 10.9%). Benfica will win (votes: 78 - 77.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 11.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 69% – 85.4%. The data is statistically significant.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Benfica (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Benfica (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (38 of 51 users predict this - 74.51%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 53 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 2 - 3.8%). Benfica (votes: 40 - 75.5%). Tie (votes: 11 - 20.8%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Ajax has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Benfica is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Benfica might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Lukebakio D. (Broken ankle) Manu (Knee Injury) Santos L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Gaaei A. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Ajax
    22.11.2025 Ajax - Excelsior 1:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Utrecht - Ajax 2:1 ✺
    05.11.2025 Ajax - Galatasaray 0:3 ✺
    01.11.2025 Ajax - Heerenveen 1:1 ✺
    26.10.2025 Twente - Ajax 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Benfica
    21.11.2025 Atlético CP - Benfica 0:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Benfica - Casa Pia 2:2 ✺
    05.11.2025 Benfica - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica 0:3 ✺
    29.10.2025 Benfica - Tondela 3:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal880023:41924
    2Bayern Munich870122:81421
    3Liverpool860220:81218
    4Tottenham852117:71017
    5Barcelona851222:14816
    6Chelsea851217:10716
    7Sporting CP851217:11616
    8Manchester City851215:9616
    9Real Madrid850321:12915
    10Inter850315:7815
    11PSG842221:111014
    12Newcastle842217:71014
    13Juventus834114:10413
    14Atl. Madrid841317:15213
    15Atalanta841310:10013
    16Bayer Leverkusen833213:14-112
    17Dortmund832319:17211
    18Olympiacos Piraeus832310:14-411
    19Club Brugge KV831415:17-210
    20Galatasaray83149:11-210
    21Monaco82428:14-610
    22Qarabag831413:21-810
    23Bodo/Glimt823314:15-19
    24Benfica830510:12-29
    25Marseille830511:14-39
    26Pafos82338:11-39
    27Royale Union SG83058:17-99
    28PSV822416:1608
    29Ath Bilbao82249:14-58
    30Napoli82249:15-68
    31FC Copenhagen822412:21-98
    32Ajax82068:21-136
    33Eintracht Frankfurt811610:21-114
    34Slavia Prague80355:19-143
    35Villarreal80175:18-131
    36Kairat Almaty80177:22-151

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