Result
0:2
25/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - League phase - Round 5
- Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | DAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | Canal+ Live 2 |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Ireland | Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two |
 Japan | Wowow Live |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
 Mexico | HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1 |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Papua-new-guinea | TVWan Sports |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | JOJ Sport 2, Voyo |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
 South-america | ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Ultra |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Turkey | Tabii Spor 1, Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 8, Virgin TV Go app |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (585/658) | 82% (332/405) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (585/658) | 82% (332/405) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (33/56) | 40% (17/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (108/143) | 73% (70/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Dahl S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Wijndal O. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
- 69', Weghorst W. 🟨,
- 74', Dahl S. 🟨,
- 74', Klaassen D. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
- 74', Bounida R. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
- 74', Godts M. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
- 81', Sudakov G. ↓, Araujo T. ↑,
- 83', Regeer Y. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
- 90', 0 - 2, Barreiro L. ⚽, Aursnes F. (A),
- 90+2', Pavlidis V. ↓, Manu ↑,
- 90+3', Barreiro L. ↓, Rego R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ajax
26.9% | Draw
26.5% | Benfica
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Ajax - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.58 ↓
(3.83) |
3.66 ↓
(3.72) |
2.08 ↑
(1.96) |
3.4%
(4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ajax - Benfica?
Users Predictions:
101 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 11 - 10.9%). Benfica will win (votes: 78 - 77.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 11.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 69% – 85.4%. The data is statistically significant.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - Benfica (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- AH +0.5 - Benfica (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (38 of 51 users predict this - 74.51%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 53 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 2 - 3.8%). Benfica (votes: 40 - 75.5%). Tie (votes: 11 - 20.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Ajax has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Benfica is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Benfica might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S.
(Groin Injury)
van den Boomen B.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Benfica: Bah A.
(Knee Injury)
Bruma
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Felix N.
(Knee Injury)
Lukebakio D.
(Broken ankle)
Manu
(Knee Injury)
Santos L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Gaaei A.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Benfica?
Ajax has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Ajax?
Benfica has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Benfica were as follows:
Latest results of Benfica
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
