Ajax vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
0:2
25/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
japanJapanWowow Live
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaJOJ Sport 2, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Ultra
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 8, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.96
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
89% (585/658)82% (332/405)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.411.55
Total shots
711
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
1725
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
815
Passes
89% (585/658)82% (332/405)
Long passes
59% (33/56)40% (17/43)
Passes in final third
76% (108/143)73% (70/96)
Crosses
18% (5/28)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.62
Throw-ins
1615
Fouls
158
Tackles
53% (8/15)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4750
Clearances
1631
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.550.41
Goals prevented
-0.450.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Dahl S. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Wijndal O. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
  • 69', Weghorst W. 🟨,
  • 74', Dahl S. 🟨,
  • 74', Klaassen D. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
  • 74', Bounida R. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
  • 74', Godts M. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
  • 81', Sudakov G. ↓, Araujo T. ↑,
  • 83', Regeer Y. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
  • 90', 0 - 2, Barreiro L. ⚽, Aursnes F. (A),
  • 90+2', Pavlidis V. ↓, Manu ↑,
  • 90+3', Barreiro L. ↓, Rego R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Ajax
26.9%		Draw
26.5%		Benfica
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 25.9% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 26.7% 47.5%

Ajax - Benfica Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.58 ↓
(3.83)		 3.66 ↓
(3.72)		 2.08 ↑
(1.96)		 3.4%
(4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ajax - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 101 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 11 - 10.9%). Benfica will win (votes: 78 - 77.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 11.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 69% – 85.4%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Benfica (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Ajax has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Benfica is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Benfica might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Lukebakio D. (Broken ankle) Manu (Knee Injury) Santos L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Gaaei A. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Ajax
    22.11.2025 Ajax - Excelsior 1:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Utrecht - Ajax 2:1 ✺
    05.11.2025 Ajax - Galatasaray 0:3 ✺
    01.11.2025 Ajax - Heerenveen 1:1 ✺
    26.10.2025 Twente - Ajax 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Benfica
    21.11.2025 Atlético CP - Benfica 0:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Benfica - Casa Pia 2:2 ✺
    05.11.2025 Benfica - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica 0:3 ✺
    29.10.2025 Benfica - Tondela 3:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal550014:11315
    2Bayern Munich650118:71115
    3Atalanta64118:6213
    4PSG540119:81112
    5Inter640212:4812
    6Real Madrid540112:5712
    7Atl. Madrid640215:12312
    8Liverpool640211:8312
    9Tottenham632113:7611
    10Dortmund531117:11610
    11Chelsea631213:8510
    12Manchester City531110:5510
    13Sporting CP631212:8410
    14Barcelona631214:11310
    15Newcastle530211:479
    16Marseille630311:839
    17Galatasaray63038:809
    18Monaco62317:8-19
    19PSV622215:1148
    20Bayer Leverkusen52218:10-28
    21Qarabag52128:9-17
    22Napoli52126:9-37
    23Juventus513110:1006
    24Pafos51314:7-36
    25Royale Union SG62047:15-86
    26Olympiacos Piraeus61236:13-75
    27Club Brugge KV51138:13-54
    28Ath Bilbao51134:9-54
    29FC Copenhagen51137:14-74
    30Eintracht Frankfurt61148:16-84
    31Benfica51044:8-43
    32Slavia Prague60332:11-93
    33Bodo/Glimt50237:11-42
    34Villarreal50142:10-81
    35Kairat Almaty60154:15-111
    36Ajax50051:16-150

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