Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Result
2:2
17/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 19
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 7
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaSportsnet+, Sportsnet World
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 3
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
indonesiaIndonesiaKompas TV, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2, SupeSport ESPN
spainSpainGol Play, GolStadium
turkeyTurkeyTivibu GO, Tivibu Spor
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.430.86
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
66
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
15
Passes
88% (442/505)86% (410/475)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
3.430.86
xG on target (xGOT)
2.381.81
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
94
Blocked shots
30
Shots inside the box
155
Shots outside the box
35
Hit the woodwork
21
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
3920
Accurate through passes
24
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1611
Passes
88% (442/505)86% (410/475)
Long passes
47% (24/51)56% (24/43)
Passes in final third
83% (95/115)76% (88/116)
Crosses
0% (0/6)8% (2/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.411.40
Throw ins
1014
Fouls
1116
Tackles
70% (7/10)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3533
Clearances
2819
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
1.812.38
Goals prevented
-0.190.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Klaassen D. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
  • 19', Goudmijn K. 🟨,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Dolberg K. ⚽, Klaassen D. (A),
  • 39', Smit M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Slory J. ↓, Baeten T. ↑,
  • 48', Goudmijn K. ↓, Edvardsen V. ↑,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Baeten T. ⚽, Linthorst E. (A),
  • 64', Kramer J. 🟨,
  • 66', 2 - 2, Smit M. ⚽, Breum J. (A),
  • 67', Breum J. ↓, van Zwam G. ↑,
  • 69', Adelgaard A. ↓, James D. ↑,
  • 73', Linthorst E. 🟨,
  • 75', Steur S. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
  • 75', Klaassen D. ↓, Sutalo J. ↑,
  • 77', Gaaei A. 🟨,
  • 79', Regeer Y. 🟨,
  • 84', Bounida R. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
  • 84', Godts M. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
  • 85', Dolberg K. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,

Chances of winning


Ajax
60.3%		Draw
22.4%		Go Ahead Eagles
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.9% 19.4% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6% 18.1% 12.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajax's form might have worsened.
  • Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
    •

    Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.57 ↑
    (1.4)    		 4.23 ↓
    (4.85)    		 5.34 ↓
    (6.81)    		 5.9%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 50.8% – 88.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Go Ahead (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Go Ahead (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 2.
    • Ajax is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Go Ahead's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ajax has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Ajax is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Weghorst W. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Go Ahead: Nauber G. (Broken Leg) Saathof P. (Knee Injury) Weijenberg R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Go Ahead: Tengstedt S. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:11. (average 2.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:3. (average 2.5:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax 2:2
    23.02.2025 Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles 2:0
    21.09.2024 Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax 1:1
    04.04.2024 Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles 1:1
    14.01.2024 Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax 2:3
    Latest results of Ajax
    14.01.2026 AZ Alkmaar - Ajax 6:0 ✺
    11.01.2026 Telstar - Ajax 2:3 ✺
    05.01.2026 Ajax - Seraing 4:0
    20.12.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Ajax 2:2 ✺
    17.12.2025 Excelsior Maassluis - Ajax 2:7 ✺
    Latest results of Go Ahead Eagles
    14.01.2026 Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo 3:2 ✺
    11.01.2026 Go Ahead Eagles - Fortuna Sittard 2:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Groningen 1:1 ✺
    17.12.2025 Roda - Go Ahead Eagles 1:2 ✺
    14.12.2025 Twente - Go Ahead Eagles 2:0 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV24202270:294162
    2Feyenoord24153655:332248
    3Nijmegen24127559:401943
    4Ajax241110347:311643
    5AZ Alkmaar24116742:38439
    6Twente24911439:261338
    7Sparta Rotterdam24114931:40-937
    8Utrecht2487936:31531
    9Groningen24941131:32-131
    10Heerenveen2487940:42-231
    11Sittard24851136:43-729
    12Zwolle24761134:50-1627
    13G.A. Eagles24511837:39-226
    14Excelsior24751226:41-1526
    15FC Volendam24661226:39-1324
    16NAC Breda24571225:36-1122
    17Telstar24391228:41-1318
    18Heracles24521731:62-3117

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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