Result
3:1
20/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- UEFA Europa Cup Women - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Martincic I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Sweden | Sport Bladet Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (287/357) | 80% (341/428) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (287/357) | 80% (341/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 44% (26/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (81/109) | 63% (65/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 76% (22/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.96 | -1.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Smits J. ⚽, Tolhoek D. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 60', 1 - 1, Miyagawa A. ⚽, Lennartsson S. (A),
- 64', Colin I. ↓, van Hensbergen J. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Holmberg S. ⚽, Josendal A. (A),
- 74', van Asten R. ↓, Noordermeer D. ↑,
- 74', Derks R. ↓, Touzani L. ↑,
- 75', Miyagawa A. ↓, Koivisto V. ↑,
- 75', Josendal A. ↓, Reidy S. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 1, Hasund V. ⚽, Reidy S. (A),
- 86', Carlsson A. ↓, Boye S. ↑,
- 88', Visscher A. 🟨,
- 88', Tolhoek D. ↓, Dostmohamed I. ↑,
- 89', Holmberg S. ↓, Maiquez S. ↑,
- 89', Hasund V. ↓, Peterson F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hammarby
46.9% | Draw
24.2% | Ajax
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Hammarby - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.2) |
3.93 ↑
(3.75) |
3.3 ↑
(2.71) |
5.1%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hammarby - Ajax?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Hammarby will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hammarby will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
- Hammarby is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Ajax is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Hammarby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ajax has had a series of home games.
- Hammarby could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hammarby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Hammarby won against Ajax?
Hammarby has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Hammarby?
Ajax has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hammarby - Ajax were as follows:
12.11.2025
Ajax
-
Hammarby
1:3
Latest results of Hammarby
Draw
Main1/8-finals| 1 | Sparta Prague W | Young Boys W | 4 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 2 | RSC Anderlecht W | Austria Vienna W | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Glasgow City W | Sporting W | 1 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Ajax W | Hammarby W | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 5 | PSV W | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 1 : 3, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nordsjaelland W | Mura W | 4 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Hacken W | Inter W | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Breidablik W | Fortuna Hjorring W | 4 : 2, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sparta Prague W | Austria Vienna W | |
| 2 | Sporting W | Hammarby W | |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | Nordsjaelland W | |
| 4 | Hacken W | Breidablik W | |
Semi-finalsFinal
