Result
0:2
19/01/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 19
- Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | ESPN 4 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Moja TV, Sportklub 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet Now, Sportsnet Now Plus, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
 Colombia | ESPN 4 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 6 |
 India | Eurosport |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 2, Polsat Sport Premium 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1, Sport TV2 |
 South-africa | SuperSport ESPN |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (487/580) | 83% (346/416) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 70% (112/159) | 71% (81/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 27% (4/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 50% (9/18) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 26 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Sutalo J. ⚽, Gaaei A. (A),
- 28', Rallis D. ↓, Sebaoui I. ↑,
- 44', Fitz-Jim K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Traore B. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
- 58', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
- 73', Brobbey B. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
- 73', Godts M. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
- 80', Gaaei A. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
- 80', Ali H. ↓, Nunnely C. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 2, Akpom Ch. ⚽,
- 87', Jahanbakhsh A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen
17.8% | Draw
22.6% | Ajax
59.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Heerenveen - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.23 ↓
(5.3) |
4.2 ↓
(4.24) |
1.59 ↑
(1.59) |
5.7%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Ajax will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 33.7% – 75.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 1.
- Heerenveen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ajax is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ajax could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Heerenveen have a series of guest games.
- In this match Ajax is a favorite.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Braude O.
(Yellow Cards)
Brouwers L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ajax: Klaassen D.
(Knock)
Wijndal O.
(Knock)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Tahirovic B.
(Concussion)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 18:65 (average 0.9:3.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Heerenveen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8:25 (average 0.8:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Ajax?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Heerenveen?
Ajax has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Ajax were as follows:
11.08.2024
Ajax
-
Heerenveen
1:0
11.02.2024
Heerenveen
-
Ajax
3:2
05.11.2023
Ajax
-
Heerenveen
4:1
12.03.2023
Heerenveen
-
Ajax
2:4
10.09.2022
Ajax
-
Heerenveen
5:0
Latest results of Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
