Ajax vs Monaco, Club Friendly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Club Friendly Ajax - Monaco
Result
2:2
03/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Club Friendly
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
israelIsraelSport 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
norwayNorwayVG+
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.052.42
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
85% (386/453)88% (427/486)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.052.42
xG on target (xGOT)
2.282.36
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2626
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
158
Passes
85% (386/453)88% (427/486)
Long passes
55% (27/49)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
80% (73/91)71% (65/92)
Crosses
18% (3/17)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.551.70
Throw-ins
2014
Fouls
815
Tackles
69% (11/16)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4232
Clearances
1115
Interceptions
314
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.362.28
Goals prevented
0.360.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Taylor K. , Klaassen D. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Biereth M. , Caio Henrique (A),
  • 45+2', Zakaria D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 63', Moro R. , Godts M. ,
  • 63', Weghorst W. , Brobbey B. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Minamino T. , Teze J. (A),
  • 66', Balogun F. , Ilenikhena G. ,
  • 66', Biereth M. , Brunner P. ,
  • 67', Teze J. , Kehrer T. ,
  • 67', Minamino T. , Akliouche M. ,
  • 73', Regeer Y. , Gaaei A. ,
  • 73', Taylor K. , Traore B. ,
  • 76', Golovin A. , Michal L. ,
  • 76', Camara L. , Coulibaly M. ,
  • 81', Brobbey B. , Edvardsen O. ,
  • 81', Mokio J. , Steur S. ,
  • 84', Caio Henrique , Ouattara K. ,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Traore B. , Wijndal O. (A),

Chances of winning


Ajax
35.7%
Draw
25.3%
Monaco
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 26.5% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 26.7% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Ajax - Monaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.45)
    3.67
    (3.4)
    2.37
    (2.45)
    8%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Ajax - Monaco?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ajax is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Monaco is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Monaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ajax has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
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