Ajax vs Olympiacos Piraeus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
1:2
28/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport OTT 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 8
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 16
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2, MEGA
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 2
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN Connect
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 2
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 12
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTV Prime
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.840.54
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
43
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
54
Passes
85% (535/629)75% (264/351)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
1.840.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.810.63
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
35
Shots inside the box
86
Shots outside the box
35
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2814
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free kicks
811
Passes
85% (535/629)75% (264/351)
Long passes
58% (44/76)49% (33/68)
Passes in final third
71% (85/119)67% (84/125)
Crosses
20% (3/15)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.74
Throw ins
1413
Fouls
118
Tackles
67% (10/15)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4345
Clearances
2226
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.630.81
Goals prevented
-1.37-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Pirola L. ↓, Biancone G. ↑,
  • 45+1', Costinha 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', Hezze S. 🟨,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Martins G. ⚽, Taremi M. (A),
  • 69', 1 - 1, Dolberg K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 69', Steur S. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
  • 69', Klaassen D. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
  • 72', Mouzakitis C. ↓, Scipioni L. ↑,
  • 72', El Kaabi A. ↓, Chiquinho ↑,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Hezze S. ⚽, Chiquinho (A),
  • 80', Dolberg K. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
  • 80', Gloukh O. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
  • 87', Martins G. ↓, Onyemaechi B. ↑,
  • 88', Rodinei ↓, Podence D. ↑,
  • 88', Wijndal O. ↓, Nash P. ↑,

Chances of winning


Ajax
31.1%		Draw
26%		Olympiacos Piraeus
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 27.8% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 28.6% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajax's form might have worsened.
  • Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olympiacos Piraeus's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympiacos Piraeus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Ajax - Olympiacos Piraeus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.08 ↑
    (2.59)    		 3.67 ↑
    (3.48)    		 2.24 ↓
    (2.79)    		 4.4%
    (3.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Ajax - Olympiacos Piraeus?
  • Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 19 - 28.4%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 41 - 61.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Olympiacos: 49.5% – 72.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Olympiacos (votes: 14 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Ajax (2.25) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 63.6%) .
    • DNB - Ajax (2.05) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Ajax (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Ajax (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 41 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 22 - 53.7%). Olympiacos (votes: 15 - 36.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 9.8%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Olympiacos has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Ibrahimovic M. (Inactive) Itakura K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Olympiacos: Angelakis K. (Inactive) Bakoulas T. (Knee Injury) Gustavo Mancha (Inactive) Paschalakis A. (Calf Injury) Vezo R. (Inactive) Yaremchuk R. (Calf Injury) Yazici Y. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ajax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Ajax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Olympiacos Piraeus were as follows:
    19.07.2024 Ajax - Olympiacos Piraeus 1:0
    Latest results of Ajax
    24.01.2026 Ajax - Volendam 2:0 ✺
    20.01.2026 Villarreal - Ajax 1:2 ✺
    17.01.2026 Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles 2:2 ✺
    14.01.2026 AZ Alkmaar - Ajax 6:0 ✺
    11.01.2026 Telstar - Ajax 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Olympiacos Piraeus
    24.01.2026 Olympiacos Piraeus - Volos 1:0 ✺
    20.01.2026 Olympiacos Piraeus - Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 ✺
    14.01.2026 Olympiacos Piraeus - PAOK 0:2 ✺
    10.01.2026 Atromitos Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus 0:2 ✺
    03.01.2026 Olympiacos Piraeus - OFI 3:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    3Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    5Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    6Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    8Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    9Barcelona (5)Bye
    10Chelsea (6)Bye
    11Liverpool (3)Bye
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Sporting CP (7)Bye
    14Manchester City (8)Bye
    15Arsenal (1)Bye
    16Bayern Munich (2)Bye
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