Result
2:3
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 18
- Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 India | Eurosport, JioTV app |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Spain | Gol Play, GolStadium |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (248/328) | 88% (566/644) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (248/328) | 88% (566/644) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/52) | 58% (33/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (56/91) | 76% (109/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Gloukh O. ⚽, Gaaei A. (A),
- 14', 0 - 2, Godts M. ⚽, Baas Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', Hatenboer C. 🟥,
- 59', Zonneveld M. ↓, Koswal D. ↑,
- 59', Noslin T. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
- 64', Lechkar A. 🟨,
- 65', Regeer Y. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
- 65', Gloukh O. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 3, Baas Y. ⚽, Bounida R. (A),
- 74', Dolberg K. 🟨,
- 75', Dolberg K. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
- 75', Steur S. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
- 75', Brouwer P. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
- 75', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 3, Baas Y. (Own goal),
- 84', Gaaei A. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 3, Bakker D. ⚽, Hardeveld J. (A),
- 90+2', Rossen N. ↓, Hagedoorn S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Telstar
24% | Draw
24.3% | Ajax
51.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Telstar - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.95 ↑
(3.71) |
3.88 ↓
(3.92) |
1.82 ↓
(1.87) |
6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Telstar - Ajax?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Ajax (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Ajax (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Ajax (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Ajax will win
(32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.62% – 99.16%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ajax will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 16 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In recent matches, Telstar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ajax is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Telstar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Telstar has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ajax is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S.
(Groin Injury)
McConnell J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Weghorst W.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Telstar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against Ajax?
Telstar has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Telstar?
Ajax has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Telstar - Ajax were as follows:
10.08.2025
Ajax
-
Telstar
2:0
19.12.2024
Ajax
-
Telstar
2:0
Latest results of Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
