Result
1:2
04/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 29
- Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 10 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 2 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Indonesia | Kompas TV, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (427/508) | 85% (408/481) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (427/508) | 85% (408/481) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (38/66) | 55% (29/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (81/117) | 76% (136/178) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.02 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.08 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Zerrouki R. ⚽, Orjasaeter S. (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Weghorst W. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
- 41', Edvardsen O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Gaaei A. 🟨,
- 57', Edvardsen O. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
- 61', Rots D. 🟨,
- 63', Rots D. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
- 63', Gloukh O. 🟨,
- 64', Lemkin S. 🟨,
- 69', Berghuis S. 🟨,
- 71', Berghuis S. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
- 71', Weghorst W. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, van Rooij B. ⚽, Lammers S. (A),
- 85', van den Belt T. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
- 85', Orjasaeter S. ↓, van Wolfswinkel R. ↑,
- 89', Gaaei A. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
- 90', Hlynsson K. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 90', Lammers S. ↓, Propper R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ajax
41.6% | Draw
25% | Twente
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Ajax - Twente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.25) |
3.78 ↑
(3.72) |
2.86 ↑
(2.86) |
5.2%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Ajax - Twente?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Twente will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 52.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.1% – 75.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 3.
- Ajax has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Twente is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Ajax: Itakura K.
(Back Injury)
Jaros V.
(Knee Injury)
Regeer Y.
(Injury)
Zinchenko O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Tomiyasu T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:24. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:4. (average 2.1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Twente?
Ajax has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Ajax?
Twente has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Twente were as follows:
26.10.2025
Twente
-
Ajax
2:3
18.05.2025
Ajax
-
Twente
2:0
10.11.2024
Twente
-
Ajax
2:2
14.04.2024
Ajax
-
Twente
2:1
17.09.2023
Twente
-
Ajax
3:1
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 82:40 | 42 | 71 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 71:47 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Twente | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 49:31 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Ajax | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 54:37 | 17 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49:45 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 53:47 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 41 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 35 |
| 12 | Sittard | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 43:54 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 38:58 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 | Telstar | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 38:48 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 29:49 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 | Heracles | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 34:74 | -40 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
