Ajax vs Twente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Football Dutch Eredivisie Ajax - Twente
Result
2:0
18/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 34
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaSportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 9
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, V Sport Fotbool
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Sport 7, SportKlub 9
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
spainSpainGol Play, GolStadium
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.79
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
84% (398/472)83% (353/423)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.821.56
Total shots
117
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2315
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1710
Passes
84% (398/472)83% (353/423)
Long passes
49% (30/61)47% (20/43)
Passes in final third
69% (86/125)63% (46/73)
Crosses
29% (5/17)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.980.56
Throw-ins
1911
Fouls
1017
Tackles
80% (4/5)86% (6/7)
Duels won
4928
Clearances
1326
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.561.82
Goals prevented
1.56-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Henderson J. ⚽, Regeer Y. (A),
  • 40', Steijn S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hilgers M. ↓, Van Hoorenbeeck A. ↑,
  • 55', Rosa L. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
  • 55', Brobbey B. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
  • 64', Sadilek M. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
  • 65', Wijndal O. ↓, Godts M. ↑,
  • 69', Verschueren A. 🟨,
  • 76', Regeer Y. ↓, Janse D. ↑,
  • 76', Berghuis S. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
  • 77', van Wolfswinkel R. ↓, Rots D. ↑,
  • 77', Taha Y. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
  • 82', Kuipers B. ↓, Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ↑,
  • 90', 2 - 0, Weghorst W. ⚽, Traore B. (A),

Chances of winning


Ajax
65.9%		Draw
18.5%		Twente
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 28.6% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 29.1% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajax's performance.
  • Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Twente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajax that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Twente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Ajax - Twente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.45 ↓
    (1.95)    		 5.1 ↑
    (3.25)    		 6.12 ↑
    (3.91)    		 5%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Ajax - Twente?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Twente will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 64.6% – 94%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Ajax (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ajax will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Ajax is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • Twente is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Twente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ajax is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Baas Y. (Groin Injury) Edvardsen O. (Knee Injury) Gaaei A. (Yellow Cards) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Twente: Booth T. (Injury) Lammers S. (Shoulder Injury) Unuvar N. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:26. (average 2.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:6. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Twente were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Twente - Ajax 2:2
    14.04.2024 Ajax - Twente 2:1
    17.09.2023 Twente - Ajax 3:1
    28.05.2023 Twente - Ajax 3:1
    09.02.2023 Twente - Ajax 0:1
    Latest results of Ajax
    14.05.2025 Groningen - Ajax 2:2 ✺
    11.05.2025 Ajax - NEC Nijmegen 0:3 ✺
    27.04.2025 Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Utrecht - Ajax 4:0 ✺
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Twente
    14.05.2025 Twente - AZ Alkmaar 2:3 ✺
    11.05.2025 Twente - Utrecht 2:0 ✺
    04.05.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Twente 0:2 ✺
    24.04.2025 Twente - PSV Eindhoven 1:3 ✺
    13.04.2025 Zwolle - Twente 1:1 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sittard00000:000
    2Telstar00000:000
    3FC Volendam00000:000
    4Zwolle00000:000
    5PSV00000:000
    6Ajax00000:000
    7NAC Breda00000:000
    8Twente00000:000
    9Heerenveen00000:000
    10Feyenoord00000:000
    11Nijmegen00000:000
    12Utrecht00000:000
    13AZ Alkmaar00000:000
    14Sparta Rotterdam00000:000
    15Heracles00000:000
    16Excelsior00000:000
    17G.A. Eagles00000:000
    18Groningen00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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