Result
2:0
18/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 34
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Austria | DAZN |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | K-Ball |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 9 |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, V Sport Fotbool |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | Nova Sports 1 |
India | Eurosport, JioTV app |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | Como TV |
Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
Kenya | Gotv |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Russia | TV Start |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 7, SportKlub 9 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
South-america | ESPN 4 South |
Spain | Gol Play, GolStadium |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Exxen |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.74 | 0.79 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
84% (398/472) | 83% (353/423) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.74 | 0.79 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.82 | 1.56 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
84% (398/472) | 83% (353/423) |
Long passes |
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49% (30/61) | 47% (20/43) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (86/125) | 63% (46/73) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (5/17) | 25% (4/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.98 | 0.56 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 11 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (4/5) | 86% (6/7) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 28 |
Clearances |
---|
13 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.56 | 1.82 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.56 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Henderson J. ⚽, Regeer Y. (A),
- 40', Steijn S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hilgers M. ↓, Van Hoorenbeeck A. ↑,
- 55', Rosa L. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
- 55', Brobbey B. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
- 64', Sadilek M. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 65', Wijndal O. ↓, Godts M. ↑,
- 69', Verschueren A. 🟨,
- 76', Regeer Y. ↓, Janse D. ↑,
- 76', Berghuis S. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
- 77', van Wolfswinkel R. ↓, Rots D. ↑,
- 77', Taha Y. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
- 82', Kuipers B. ↓, Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 0, Weghorst W. ⚽, Traore B. (A),
Chances of winning
Ajax 65.9% | Draw 18.5% | Twente 15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajax's performance.Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Twente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-17.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajax that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Twente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ajax - Twente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.45 ↓ (1.95) |
5.1 ↑ (3.25) |
6.12 ↑ (3.91) |
5% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Ajax - Twente?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Twente will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 64.6% – 94%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Ajax (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ajax will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- Ajax is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- Twente is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Twente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ajax is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Ajax: Baas Y.
(Groin Injury)
Edvardsen O.
(Knee Injury)
Gaaei A.
(Yellow Cards)
van den Boomen B.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Twente: Booth T.
(Injury)
Lammers S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Unuvar N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:26. (average 2.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:6. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Twente?
Ajax has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Ajax?
Twente has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Twente were as follows:
10.11.2024
Twente
-
Ajax
2:2
14.04.2024
Ajax
-
Twente
2:1
17.09.2023
Twente
-
Ajax
3:1
28.05.2023
Twente
-
Ajax
3:1
09.02.2023
Twente
-
Ajax
0:1
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie