Twente vs Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Result
2:3
26/10/2025 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 10
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN Extra
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1, Sport TV2
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainGol Play, GolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.800.95
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
86% (502/581)80% (296/370)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.800.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.952.50
Total shots
219
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
92
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
3826
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
86% (502/581)80% (296/370)
Long passes
57% (26/46)39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
80% (159/200)63% (62/99)
Crosses
39% (9/23)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.530.79
Throw-ins
1314
Fouls
1413
Tackles
47% (9/19)50% (10/20)
Duels won
4448
Clearances
1722
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.501.95
Goals prevented
-0.50-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Hlynsson K. ⚽, Nijstad R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', McConnell J. ↓, Regeer Y. ↑,
  • 46', Itakura K. ↓, Wijndal O. ↑,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Weghorst W. ⚽, Taylor K. (A),
  • 51', 1 - 2, Gloukh O. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
  • 56', 1 - 3, Godts M. ⚽, Moro R. (A),
  • 60', Rots M. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
  • 60', Pjaca M. ↓, Rots D. ↑,
  • 64', 2 - 3, van Wolfswinkel R. (Pen),
  • 73', Moro R. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
  • 77', van den Belt T. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
  • 81', Nijstad R. ↓, Lammers S. ↑,
  • 81', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Unuvar N. ↑,
  • 89', Gloukh O. 🟨,
  • 90', Godts M. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
  • 90+1', Taylor K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Twente
40.2%		Draw
26.3%		Ajax
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 25.5% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 25.8% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Twente's performance.
  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Twente that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Twente - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.39 ↓
    (3)    		 3.69 ↓
    (3.7)    		 2.83 ↑
    (2.2)    		 4.3%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Twente - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 44.9% – 88.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Ajax (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Ajax (1.55) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1.5 - Twente (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Ajax (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Ajax (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Ajax (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Ajax (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Twente will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Twente (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Ajax (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 2.
    • Twente is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ajax has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Twente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Twente: Bruns M. (Injury) Hilgers M. (Inactive) Kjolo M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) Dolberg K. (Abdominal strain) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Twente: Rots M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:39. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - Ajax were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Ajax - Twente 2:0
    10.11.2024 Twente - Ajax 2:2
    14.04.2024 Ajax - Twente 2:1
    17.09.2023 Twente - Ajax 3:1
    28.05.2023 Twente - Ajax 3:1
    Latest results of Twente
    18.10.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Twente 3:3 ✺
    05.10.2025 Twente - Heracles Almelo 2:1 ✺
    26.09.2025 Twente - Fortuna Sittard 3:2 ✺
    19.09.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Twente 1:5 ✺
    13.09.2025 Twente - NAC Breda 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Ajax
    22.10.2025 Chelsea - Ajax 5:1 ✺
    18.10.2025 Ajax - AZ Alkmaar 0:2 ✺
    04.10.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax 3:3 ✺
    30.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Ajax 4:0 ✺
    27.09.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 2:1 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV24202270:294162
    2Feyenoord24153655:332248
    3Nijmegen24127559:401943
    4Ajax241110347:311643
    5AZ Alkmaar24116742:38439
    6Twente24911439:261338
    7Sparta Rotterdam24114931:40-937
    8Utrecht2487936:31531
    9Groningen24941131:32-131
    10Heerenveen2487940:42-231
    11Sittard24851136:43-729
    12Zwolle24761134:50-1627
    13G.A. Eagles24511837:39-226
    14Excelsior24751226:41-1526
    15FC Volendam24661226:39-1324
    16NAC Breda24571225:36-1122
    17Telstar24391228:41-1318
    18Heracles24521731:62-3117

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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