Result
26/10/2025 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Twente
35.8% | Draw
25.7% | Ajax
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Twente - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↓
(3) |
3.7
(3.7) |
2.57 ↑
(2.2) |
5.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 2.
- Twente is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Ajax has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ajax is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:39. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Ajax?
Twente has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Twente?
Ajax has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - Ajax were as follows:
18.05.2025
Ajax
-
Twente
2:0
10.11.2024
Twente
-
Ajax
2:2
14.04.2024
Ajax
-
Twente
2:1
17.09.2023
Twente
-
Ajax
3:1
28.05.2023
Twente
-
Ajax
3:1
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | PSV | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27:12 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Groningen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Nijmegen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Twente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Sittard | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 13 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:22 | -11 | 10 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Heracles | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
