Result
2:3
26/10/2025 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 10
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
France | DAZN France |
Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | Como TV |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN Extra |
Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
Portugal | DAZN 2 |
Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1, Sport TV2 |
South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
Spain | Gol Play, GolStadium |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (502/581) | 80% (296/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (502/581) | 80% (296/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (26/46) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (159/200) | 63% (62/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Hlynsson K. ⚽, Nijstad R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', McConnell J. ↓, Regeer Y. ↑,
- 46', Itakura K. ↓, Wijndal O. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Weghorst W. ⚽, Taylor K. (A),
- 51', 1 - 2, Gloukh O. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
- 56', 1 - 3, Godts M. ⚽, Moro R. (A),
- 60', Rots M. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
- 60', Pjaca M. ↓, Rots D. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 3, van Wolfswinkel R. (Pen),
- 73', Moro R. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
- 77', van den Belt T. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 81', Nijstad R. ↓, Lammers S. ↑,
- 81', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Unuvar N. ↑,
- 89', Gloukh O. 🟨,
- 90', Godts M. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
- 90+1', Taylor K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Twente 40.2% | Draw 26.3% | Ajax 33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Twente - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.39 ↓ (3) |
3.69 ↓ (3.7) |
2.83 ↑ (2.2) |
4.3% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Twente - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 44.9% – 88.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Twente (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
- DC - Ajax (1.55) (votes: 3 - 75%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 2.
- Twente is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ajax has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Twente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Twente: Bruns M.
(Injury)
Hilgers M.
(Inactive)
Kjolo M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S.
(Groin Injury)
Dolberg K.
(Abdominal strain)
van den Boomen B.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Twente: Rots M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:39. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Ajax?
Twente has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Twente?
Ajax has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - Ajax were as follows:
18.05.2025
Ajax
-
Twente
2:0
10.11.2024
Twente
-
Ajax
2:2
14.04.2024
Ajax
-
Twente
2:1
17.09.2023
Twente
-
Ajax
3:1
28.05.2023
Twente
-
Ajax
3:1
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30:10 | 20 | 28 |
| 2 | PSV | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 35:16 | 19 | 28 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Ajax | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21:15 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Groningen | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | Twente | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Sittard | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 16 |
| 10 | Nijmegen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 27:20 | 7 | 15 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | NAC Breda | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Telstar | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie