Result
0:0
01/03/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 25
- Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Chile | ESPN 3 |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN 3 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 2 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Paraguay | ESPN 3 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (238/319) | 83% (413/496) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (238/319) | 83% (413/496) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (25/65) | 45% (24/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (48/94) | 78% (85/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Thomas R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Thomas R. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
- 61', Klaassen D. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
- 61', Bounida R. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
- 66', Graves S. 🟨,
- 77', Shoretire S. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
- 77', Weghorst W. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
- 77', Wijndal O. ↓, Tomiyasu T. ↑,
- 78', Berghuis S. 🟨,
- 82', Oosting T. ↓, Velanas O. ↑,
- 82', Gooijer T. ↓, Velthuis T. ↑,
- 86', Floranus S. 🟨,
- 87', Regeer Y. 🟨,
- 89', Gloukh O. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zwolle
25.1% | Draw
23.9% | Ajax
51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zwolle that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Zwolle - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.81 ↓
(4.53) |
3.97 ↓
(4.03) |
1.86 ↑
(1.66) |
5.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Zwolle - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Ajax will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Ajax (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ajax will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 1.
- Zwolle is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ajax has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ajax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ajax is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Zwolle: Faberski J.
(Red Card)
Lagsir S.
(Inactive)
Monteiro J.
(Inactive)
Schendelaar J.
(Injury)
Thomas R.
(Inactive)
Voute D.
(Inactive)
van der Haar D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ajax: Itakura K.
(Inactive)
Jaros V.
(Knee Injury)
Zinchenko O.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Dolberg K.
(Injury)
Klaassen D.
(Inactive)
Regeer Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 12:50. (average 0.6:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 6:23. (average 0.6:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Ajax?
Zwolle has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Zwolle?
Ajax has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - Ajax were as follows:
13.09.2025
Ajax
-
Zwolle
3:1
09.03.2025
Zwolle
-
Ajax
0:1
24.11.2024
Ajax
-
Zwolle
2:0
05.07.2024
Ajax
-
Zwolle
0:1
31.03.2024
Zwolle
-
Ajax
1:3
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 77:34 | 43 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 60:39 | 21 | 52 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 67:45 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | Ajax | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 52:34 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Twente | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45:29 | 16 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 47:44 | 3 | 40 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 |
| 10 | Groningen | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Sittard | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 42:50 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 32 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36:52 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Telstar | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 24 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 32:69 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
