Result
01/03/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Zwolle
23.3% | Draw
23.4% | Ajax
53.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Zwolle - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.05 ↓
(4.53) |
4.02 ↓
(4.03) |
1.78 ↑
(1.66) |
5.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 1.
- Recent form of Zwolle has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ajax has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Zwolle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ajax is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 12:50. (average 0.6:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 6:23. (average 0.6:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Ajax?
Zwolle has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Zwolle?
Ajax has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - Ajax were as follows:
13.09.2025
Ajax
-
Zwolle
3:1
09.03.2025
Zwolle
-
Ajax
0:1
24.11.2024
Ajax
-
Zwolle
2:0
05.07.2024
Ajax
-
Zwolle
0:1
31.03.2024
Zwolle
-
Ajax
1:3
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
