Result
0:1
09/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 25
- Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Sportklub 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Montenegro | Sportklub 4 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Russia | TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | SportKlub 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport ESPN |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 17 | 35 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (304/400) | 83% (438/526) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 57% (61/107) | 69% (84/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 8% (1/12) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 63% (12/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Brobbey B. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
- 32', Thomas R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Thomas R. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 1, Taylor K. (Pen),
- 70', Godts M. ↓, Henderson J. ↑,
- 70', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
- 72', Mbayo D. ↓, Velanas O. ↑,
- 72', Van Den Berg D. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
- 80', Fichtinger N. ↓, Buitink T. ↑,
- 84', Taylor K. ↓, van den Boomen B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zwolle
15% | Draw
21.7% | Ajax
63.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Zwolle - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.35 ↑
(5.61) |
4.39 ↓
(4.44) |
1.51 ↓
(1.53) |
4.9%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Zwolle - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Ajax will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 52.1% – 90.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 1.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Ajax have a series of home games.
- In this match Ajax is a favorite.
- There will not play in Zwolle: Gooijer T.
(Knee Injury)
Lagsir S.
(Knee Injury)
Monteiro J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Ajax: Rasmussen C.
(Muscle Injury)
Regeer Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Weghorst W.
(Toe Injury)
Wijndal O.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Zwolle: Namli Y.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Pasveer R.
(Injury)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 16:47 (average 0.8:2.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Zwolle won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11:23 (average 1.1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Ajax?
Zwolle has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Zwolle?
Ajax has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - Ajax were as follows:
24.11.2024
Ajax
-
Zwolle
2:0
05.07.2024
Ajax
-
Zwolle
0:1
31.03.2024
Zwolle
-
Ajax
1:3
17.12.2023
Ajax
-
Zwolle
2:2
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Nijmegen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | Utrecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | PSV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Zwolle | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Telstar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Twente | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Heerenveen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
