AJEL de Rufisque vs Dakar SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
senegalSenegalLSFP TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


AJEL de Rufisque
37.7%
Draw
39.6%
Dakar SC
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 33.2% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 32.6% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AJEL de Rufisque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AJEL de Rufisque's form might have worsened.
  • Dakar SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AJEL de Rufisque than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AJEL de Rufisque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dakar SC than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • AJEL de Rufisque - Dakar SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.12)
    2.29
    (2.77)
    4
    (3.95)
    10.3%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 8).
    • AJEL is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dakar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dakar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • AJEL will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AJEL won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, AJEL won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AJEL de Rufisque - Dakar SC were as follows:
    14.06.2025 Dakar SC - AJEL de Rufisque 3:0
    18.01.2025 AJEL de Rufisque - Dakar SC 2:1
    Latest results of AJEL de Rufisque
    Latest results of Dakar SC
    07.12.2025 Ouakam - Dakar SC 1:1
    29.11.2025 Dakar SC - Linguère 0:0
    23.11.2025 HLM - Dakar SC 0:1
    16.11.2025 Dakar SC - Gorée 0:4
    Senegal Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AJEL1796219:10933
    2US Goree1777321:81328
    3Teungueth17610110:3728
    4Casa17511120:12826
    5Generation F1757517:14322
    6Jaraaf17410311:10122
    7Ouakam17312211:8321
    8Pikine1749410:8221
    9Wally Daan1749413:13021
    10Dakar SC17311315:18-320
    11Mbour17211410:12-217
    12Linguere1738614:18-417
    13ASC HLM1711336:14-816
    14Sonacos1737710:22-1216
    15AS Camberene1728710:21-1114
    16Guediawaye1735912:18-613

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