Ajla Tomljanovic vs Rebeka Masarova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/04/2025 at 08:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 5

Match Stats

Aces
19
Double Faults
55
1st Serve Percentage
65%57%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (36/53)83% (38/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (16/28)43% (15/35)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)57% (4/7)
1st Return Points Won
17% (8/46)32% (17/53)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (20/35)43% (12/28)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)75% (3/4)
Service Points Won
64% (52/81)65% (54/83)
Return Points Won
35% (29/83)36% (29/81)
Total Points Won
49% (81/164)51% (83/164)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
50% (14/28)50% (14/28)

Chances of winning


Ajla Tomljanovic
42.3%
Rebeka Masarova
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 47.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajla Tomljanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajla Tomljanovic's form might have worsened.
  • Rebeka Masarova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rebeka Masarova's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajla Tomljanovic than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajla Tomljanovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebeka Masarova than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rebeka Masarova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ajla Tomljanovic - Rebeka Masarova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.79)

    1.66
    (2.03)
    4.8%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Ajla Tomljanovic - Rebeka Masarova?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tomljanovic will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Masarova will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tomljanovic (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tomljanovic is ranked WTA: 79. Masarova is ranked WTA: 153.
    • Recent matches Tomljanovic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Masarova is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Tomljanovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Ajla Tomljanovic
    Latest results of Rebeka Masarova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Stearns P.Boisson L.2 : 0
    3Uchijima M.Starodubtseva Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCristian J. (29)
    5Bouzkova M. (23)Bye
    6Kalinina A. (Q)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    7Zakharova A.Osorio C.0 : 2
    8ByeOsaka N. (14)
    9Bencic B. (11)Bye
    10Marcinko P.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)2 : 0
    11Haddad Maia B.Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    12ByeShnaider D. (18)
    13Baptiste H. (30)Bye
    14Quevedo K. (WC)Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    15Siegemund L.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (8)
    17Swiatek I. (4)Bye
    18Snigur D. (Q)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    19Parks A. (Q)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    20ByeLi A. (31)
    21Fernandez L. (24)Bye
    22Badosa P. (WC)Grabher J.1 : 2
    23Montgomery R. (WC)Linette M.0 : 2
    24ByeJovic I. (15)
    25Andreeva M. (9)Bye
    26Udvardy P. (LL)Birrell K.2 : 1
    27Galfi D. (Q)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    28ByeKalinskaya A. (22)
    29Wang Xin. (28)Bye
    30Maria T.Samson L. (WC)0 : 2
    31Bondar A.Golubic V.2 : 0
    32ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Townsend T.Boulter K.0 : 2
    35Putintseva Y.Valentova T.2 : 1
    36ByeKostyuk M. (26)
    37Blinkova A. (Alt)Bye
    38Kalieva E. (Q)Siniakova K.0 : 2
    39McNally C.Volynets K. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeMboko V. (10)
    41Noskova L. (13)Bye
    42Gibson T.Arango E. (WC)0 : 2
    43Tjen J.Charaeva A. (Q)2 : 0
    44ByeSamsonova L. (20)
    45Cirstea S. (25)Bye
    46Jacquemot E.Grant T. C. (Q)0 : 2
    47Selekhmeteva O.Jeanjean L. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (3)
    49Frech M. (34)Bye
    50Yastremska D.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Sonmez Z.Martinez Cirez C. (WC)2 : 0
    52ByeBucsa C. (27)
    53Mertens E. (19)Bye
    54Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q)Eala A.0 : 2
    55Pliskova Ka.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 1
    56ByeSakkari M. (33)
    57Potapova A. (LL)Bye
    58Zhang S.Lys E.2 : 0
    59Oliynykova O.Waltert S. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeOstapenko J. (21)
    61Zheng Q. (32)Bye
    62Krueger A.Kenin S.0 : 2
    63Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 1
    64ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Stearns P.2 : 0
    2Starodubtseva Y.Cristian J. (29)1 : 2
    3Bouzkova M. (23)Kalinina A.0 : 2
    4Osorio C.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (11)Marcinko P.2 : 0
    6Bouzas Maneiro J.Shnaider D. (18)1 : 2
    7Baptiste H. (30)Quevedo K.2 : 0
    8Siegemund L.Paolini J. (8)1 : 2
    9Swiatek I. (4)Snigur D.2 : 0
    10Parks A.Li A. (31)1 : 2
    11Fernandez L. (24)Grabher J.2 : 0
    12Linette M.Jovic I. (15)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (9)Udvardy P.2 : 0
    14Galfi D.Kalinskaya A. (22)2 : 0
    15Wang Xin. (28)Samson L.1 : 2
    16Bondar A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    17Pegula J. (5)Boulter K.2 : 0
    18Putintseva Y.Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    19Blinkova A.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    20McNally C.Mboko V. (10)2 : 0
    21Noskova L. (13)Arango E.2 : 0
    22Tjen J.Samsonova L. (20)0 : 2
    23Cirstea S. (25)Grant T. C.2 : 0
    24Jeanjean L.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Frech M. (34)Sierra S.0 : 2
    26Sonmez Z.Bucsa C. (27)2 : 1
    27Mertens E. (19)Eala A.2 : 0
    28Pliskova Ka.Sakkari M. (33)2 : 0
    29Potapova A.Zhang S.2 : 0
    30Waltert S.Ostapenko J. (21)0 : 2
    31Zheng Q. (32)Kenin S.2 : 1
    32Ruse G.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cristian J. (29)2 : 0
    2Kalinina A.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    3Bencic B. (11)Shnaider D. (18)2 : 0
    4Baptiste H. (30)Paolini J. (8)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (RET.) (4)Li A. (31)1 : 1
    6Fernandez L. (24)Jovic I. (15)2 : 1
    7Andreeva M. (9)Galfi D.2 : 0
    8Samson L.Bondar A.0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (5)Kostyuk M. (26)
    10Siniakova K.McNally C.
    11Noskova L. (13)Samsonova L. (20)
    12Cirstea S. (25)Gauff C. (3)
    13Sierra S.Sonmez Z.
    14Mertens E. (19)Pliskova Ka.
    15Potapova A.Ostapenko J. (21)
    16Zheng Q. (32)Rybakina E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Osaka N. (14)
    2Bencic B. (11)Baptiste H. (30)
    3Li A. (31)Fernandez L. (24)
    4Andreeva M. (9)Bondar A.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2