Varvara Gracheva vs Ajla Tomljanovic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/05/2025 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Match Stats


Aces
3	0
Double Faults
5	4
1st Serve Percentage
74%	68%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (32/50)	59% (26/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (9/18)	43% (9/21)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)	33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
41% (18/44)	36% (18/50)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (12/21)	50% (9/18)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)	40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
59% (41/69)	54% (35/65)
Return Points Won
46% (30/65)	41% (28/69)
Total Points Won
53% (71/134)	47% (63/134)
Last 10 Balls
6	4
Match Points Saved
0	1
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)	56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)	20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)	37% (7/19)

Chances of winning

Varvara Gracheva
50.1%

Ajla Tomljanovic
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Ajla Tomljanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajla Tomljanovic than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Varvara Gracheva - Ajla Tomljanovic Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.91)		1.91 (1.91)	4.8% (4.7%)

What is the prediction for Varvara Gracheva - Ajla Tomljanovic?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Tomljanovic will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gracheva: 45% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Gracheva is ranked WTA: 65. Tomljanovic is ranked WTA: 79.
Both players have been playing unpredictably.
Tomljanovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gracheva won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Varvara Gracheva won against Ajla Tomljanovic?

Varvara Gracheva has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ajla Tomljanovic won against Varvara Gracheva?

Ajla Tomljanovic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Varvara Gracheva - Ajla Tomljanovic were as follows:

13.08.2024 Ajla Tomljanovic - Varvara Gracheva 1:2

Latest results of Varvara Gracheva

22.04.2025 Lulu Sun - Varvara Gracheva 2:1 ✺

17.04.2025 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Varvara Gracheva 2:0 ✺

15.04.2025 Varvara Gracheva - Sonay Kartal 2:0 ✺

09.04.2025 Varvara Gracheva - Zeynep Sonmez 0:2 ✺

08.04.2025 Varvara Gracheva - Lisa Zaar 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Ajla Tomljanovic

06.05.2025 Ajla Tomljanovic - Olivia Gadecki 2:0 ✺

05.05.2025 Ajla Tomljanovic - Angelica Raggi 2:0 ✺

29.04.2025 Carlota Martinez Cirez - Ajla Tomljanovic 2:0 ✺

23.04.2025 Ajla Tomljanovic - Rebeka Masarova 1:2 ✺

03.04.2025 Jessica Pegula - Ajla Tomljanovic 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Yastremska D.	Potapova A.	1 : 2
3	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Boulter K.	2 : 0
4	Bye	Kenin S. (31)
5	Fernandez L. (24)	Bye
6	Ruzic A. (Q)	Grant T. C. (WC)	2 : 1
7	Eala A.	Kostyuk M.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Kasatkina D. (14)
9	Rybakina E. (11)	Bye
10	Uchijima M.	Lys E.	0 : 2
11	Andreescu B.	Urgesi F. (WC)	2 : 0
12	Bye	Vekic D. (20)
13	Frech M. (26)	Bye
14	Azarenka V.	Osorio C.	2 : 0
15	Siniakova K.	Danilovic O.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Zheng Q. (8)
17	Gauff C. (4)	Bye
18	Zucchini A. (WC)	Mboko V. (Q)	0 : 2
19	Sakkari M. (Q)	Bencic B. (RET.)	1 : 0
20	Bye	Linette M. (32)
21	Teichmann J. (LL)	Bye
22	Joint M. (Q)	Raducanu E.	1 : 2
23	Stefanini L. (WC)	Kudermetova V.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Anisimova A. (15)
25	Navarro E. (10)	Bye
26	Rakhimova K. (LL)	Wang Xin.	2 : 0
27	Volynets K. (Q)	Rus A. (Q)	2 : 0
28	Bye	Tauson C. (22)
29	Noskova L. (30)	Bye
30	Birrell K.	Kartal S.	1 : 2
31	Arango E. (Q)	Tomova V.	2 : 1
32	Bye	Andreeva M. (7)
33	Paolini J. (6)	Bye
34	Pedone G. (WC)	Sun L.	1 : 2
35	Kvitova P.	Begu I.	2 : 0
36	Bye	Jabeur O. (27)
37	Ostapenko J. (17)	Bye
38	Sramkova R.	Kessler M.	2 : 0
39	Bronzetti L.	Sevastova A.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Siegemund L. (LL)
41	Shnaider D. (13)	Bye
42	Dolehide C.	Gadecki O. (LL)	2 : 1
43	Parks A.	Cristian J.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Putintseva Y. (23)
45	Mertens E. (25)	Bye
46	Lamens S.	Zarazua R.	2 : 1
47	Krueger A.	Bondar A. (Q)	2 : 1
48	Bye	Pegula J. (3)
49	Keys M. (5)	Bye
50	Gracheva V.	Tomljanovic A. (Q)	2 : 0
51	Stearns P.	Brancaccio N. (WC)	2 : 0
52	Bye	Kalinskaya A. (28)
53	Haddad Maia B. (18)	Bye
54	Bouzkova M.	Sherif M.	2 : 0
55	Errani S. (WC)	Osaka N.	0 : 2
56	Bye	Golubic V. (LL)
57	Svitolina E. (16)	Bye
58	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Li A.	2 : 1
59	Baptiste H. (Q)	Blinkova A. (Q)	2 : 0
60	Bye	Samsonova L. (19)
61	Collins D. (29)	Bye
62	Ruse G. (Q)	Kudermetova P.	2 : 1
63	Cocciaretto E. (WC)	Avanesyan E.	2 : 1
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Potapova A.	2 : 0
2	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Kenin S. (31)	0 : 2
3	Fernandez L. (24)	Ruzic A.	2 : 0
4	Kostyuk M.	Kasatkina D. (14)	2 : 0
5	Rybakina E. (11)	Lys E.	2 : 0
6	Andreescu B.	Vekic D. (20)	2 : 1
7	Frech M. (26)	Azarenka V.	2 : 0
8	Danilovic O.	Zheng Q. (8)	0 : 2
9	Gauff C. (4)	Mboko V.	2 : 1
10	Sakkari M.	Linette M. (32)	1 : 2
11	Teichmann J. (LL)	Raducanu E.	0 : 2
12	Kudermetova V.	Anisimova A. (15)	2 : 0
13	Navarro E. (10)	Rakhimova K.	2 : 0
14	Volynets K. (RET.)	Tauson C. (22)	0 : 1
15	Noskova L. (30)	Kartal S.	2 : 0
16	Arango E.	Andreeva M. (7)	0 : 2
17	Paolini J. (6)	Sun L.	2 : 0
18	Kvitova P.	Jabeur O. (WO.) (27)
19	Ostapenko J. (17)	Sramkova R.	2 : 1
20	Bronzetti L.	Siegemund L.	0 : 2
21	Shnaider D. (13)	Dolehide C.	2 : 0
22	Cristian J.	Putintseva Y. (23)	2 : 0
23	Mertens E. (25)	Lamens S.	2 : 1
24	Krueger A.	Pegula J. (3)	0 : 2
25	Keys M. (5)	Gracheva V.	2 : 0
26	Stearns P.	Kalinskaya A. (28)	2 : 0
27	Haddad Maia B. (18)	Bouzkova M.	0 : 2
28	Osaka N.	Golubic V. (LL)	2 : 1
29	Svitolina E. (16)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
30	Baptiste H.	Samsonova L. (19)	2 : 1
31	Collins D. (29)	Ruse G.	2 : 0
32	Cocciaretto E.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kenin S. (31)	2 : 1
2	Fernandez L. (24)	Kostyuk M.	0 : 2
3	Rybakina E. (11)	Andreescu B.	0 : 2
4	Frech M. (26)	Zheng Q. (8)	0 : 2
5	Gauff C. (4)	Linette M. (32)	2 : 0
6	Raducanu E.	Kudermetova V.	2 : 1
7	Navarro E. (10)	Tauson C. (22)	1 : 2
8	Noskova L. (30)	Andreeva M. (7)	0 : 2
9	Paolini J. (6)	Jabeur O. (27)	2 : 0
10	Ostapenko J. (WO.) (17)	Siegemund L.
11	Shnaider D. (13)	Cristian J.	2 : 0
12	Mertens E. (25)	Pegula J. (3)	2 : 0
13	Keys M. (5)	Stearns P.	1 : 2
14	Bouzkova M.	Osaka N.	1 : 2
15	Svitolina E. (16)	Baptiste H.	2 : 1
16	Collins D. (29)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 0

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kostyuk M.	2 : 0
2	Andreescu B.	Zheng Q. (8)	0 : 2
3	Gauff C. (4)	Raducanu E.	2 : 0
4	Tauson C. (22)	Andreeva M. (7)	1 : 2
5	Paolini J. (6)	Ostapenko J. (17)	2 : 0
6	Shnaider D. (13)	Mertens E. (25)	2 : 0
7	Stearns P.	Osaka N.	2 : 1
8	Svitolina E. (16)	Collins D. (29)	2 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Zheng Q. (8)	0 : 2
2	Gauff C. (4)	Andreeva M. (7)	2 : 0
3	Paolini J. (6)	Shnaider D. (13)	2 : 1
4	Stearns P.	Svitolina E. (16)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Zheng Q. (8)	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
2	Paolini J. (6)	Stearns P.	2 : 0

Final

1

Gauff C. (4)

Paolini J. (6)

0 : 2