Ajman Club vs Shabab Al-Ahli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/01/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Ajman Stadium (Ajman).

UAE League - Round 14
Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, ADtv
World	Triller TV+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.68	0.62
Ball possession
41%	59%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
2	1
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
3	8
Passes
72% (216/302)	80% (358/446)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.68	0.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.08	0.20
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked shots
5	3
Shots inside the box
8	5
Shots outside the box
1	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
3	8
Touches in opposition box
20	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
15	16
Passes
72% (216/302)	80% (358/446)
Long passes
38% (24/63)	44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
58% (41/71)	66% (69/104)
Crosses
47% (8/17)	44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.07	0.55
Throw ins
25	13
Fouls
16	15
Tackles
60% (6/10)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
46	65
Clearances
27	27
Interceptions
8	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.20	0.08
Goals prevented
-0.80	0.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Kauan Santos ⚽, Ezatolahi S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Mittache A. 🟨,
56', Mateusao 🟨,
58', Al Mansouri M. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
58', Al Ghassani Y. ↓, Cartabia F. ↑,
61', Mittache A. ↓, Yazan M. ↑,
61', Abdelaziz A. ↓, Hotic D. ↑,
61', Henrique V. ↓, El Hadani S. ↑,
68', Rikelme ↓, Mateus Henrique ↑,
69', Maksimovic N. ↓, Breno ↑,
83', Yuri Cesar ↓, Planic B. ↑,
90', Moumen I. ↓, Marciano R. ↑,
90', Suliman S. ↓, Al Balooshi A. ↑,
90+1', Marciano R. 🟨,
90+2', Ezatolahi S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Ajman Club
12.9%

Draw
20.6%

Shabab Al-Ahli
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

22.4%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

21.3%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajman Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajman Club than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Ajman Club - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.13 ↑ (6.42)	4.46 ↑ (4.14)	1.39 ↓ (1.47)	8.6% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Ajman Club - Shabab Al-Ahli?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1 - Shabab Al-Ahli (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.25 - Shabab Al-Ahli (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shabab Al-Ahli will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 5 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajman won 0.
Ajman has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Shabab Al-Ahli is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Ajman may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Shabab Al-Ahli is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajman won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 16:46. (average 0.8:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Ajman won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.9:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Ajman Club won against Shabab Al-Ahli?

Ajman Club has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shabab Al-Ahli won against Ajman Club?

Shabab Al-Ahli has won 9 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ajman Club - Shabab Al-Ahli were as follows:

15.01.2026 Shabab Al-Ahli - Ajman Club 3:1

08.02.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Ajman Club 3:1

25.01.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Ajman Club 2:1

08.09.2024 Ajman Club - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:1

30.08.2024 Ajman Club - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:2

Latest results of Ajman Club

19.01.2026 Ajman Club - Al Dhafra 1:1 ✺

15.01.2026 Shabab Al-Ahli - Ajman Club 3:1 ✺

08.01.2026 Al-Jazira - Ajman Club 3:0 ✺

03.01.2026 Ajman Club - Ittihad Kalba 0:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Ajman Club - Dibba Al Fujairah 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli

24.01.2026 Al-Sadd - Shabab Al-Ahli 3:2 ✺

19.01.2026 Shabab Al-Ahli - Dibba Al Fujairah 7:0 ✺

15.01.2026 Shabab Al-Ahli - Ajman Club 3:1 ✺

11.01.2026 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Wasl 3:1 ✺

07.01.2026 Al Bataeh - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:4 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ain	21	16	5	0	43:16	27	53
2	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	21	16	4	1	50:8	42	52
3	Al Jazira	21	11	4	6	34:20	14	37
4	Al Wahda	22	9	9	4	33:21	12	36
5	Al Wasl	21	9	6	6	25:22	3	33
6	Al Nasr	21	6	10	5	27:27	0	28
7	Ajman	21	7	3	11	20:28	-8	24
8	Al Sharjah	21	7	3	11	31:38	-7	24
9	Ittihad Kalba	22	5	8	9	26:39	-13	23
10	Khorfakkan	21	6	5	10	29:37	-8	23
11	Bani Yas	21	6	3	12	21:33	-12	21
12	Al Dhafra	21	5	3	13	25:43	-18	18
13	Al Bataeh	21	4	6	11	21:31	-10	18
14	Dibba Al Fujairah	21	4	5	12	18:40	-22	17

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Division 1